Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds vs. Lafayette Leopards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86811f9e0fc2800ca8994db050b93b791ccc76819c98d05ee170b366856781eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Loyola Maryland Greyhoundsof Loyola Maryland Greyhounds, Lafayette Leopards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,561
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,561 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed Lafayette Leopards | 21c | 1,000$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.3 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Lafayette Leopards | 27c | 977$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.13 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 73c | 830.63$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.56 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 73c | 711.42$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.34 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 79c | 400$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 41c | 199.81$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.33 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Lafayette Leopards | 14c | 195$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 71c | 161.85$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.73 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lafayette Leopards | 29c | 161.84$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Lafayette Leopards | 58c | 146.89$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.25 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Lafayette Leopards | 58c | 117.38$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.08 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 40c | 97.72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.63 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Lafayette Leopards | 33c | 78.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Lafayette Leopards | 58c | 68.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 41c | 55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 65c | 52.48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 42c | 52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Lafayette Leopards | 69c | 51.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Lafayette Leopards | 31c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 42c | 45.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 80c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…8b71backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 42c | 42.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lafayette Leopards | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x512a…0b6ebacked Lafayette Leopards | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Lafayette Leopards | 63c | 31.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 227 | 30.4%69 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Lafayette Leopards | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Lafayette Leopards | 58c | 29.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Lafayette Leopards | 56c | 28.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked Lafayette Leopards | 59c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34b2…cec2backed Lafayette Leopards | 59c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a7…d69dbacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x372d…a119backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x943a…8234backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 74cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lafayette Leopards | 57c | 18.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Loyola Maryland Greyhounds vs. Lafayette Leopardsthis page
- Loyola Maryland Greyhounds vs. Lafayette Leopards: O/U 146.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.