TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfc7c…d9d7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
230
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST9750.5%49 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 97 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$81.57
Dota 2: Ivory vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Playoffsbacked Ivory · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+63.3%+$31.66
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Yakutou Brothers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+42.9%+$46.66
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - CCT Series 7 Playoffsbacked Pipsqueak+4 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$147.07
Dota 2: Aurora vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+53.8%+$202
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - CCT Series 7 Group Bbacked Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$126.24
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$345.79
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$434.7
Dota 2: NAVI Junior vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - CCT Series 7 Group Abacked VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$601Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+37.5%+$225.57
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winnerbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$460
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 1 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+100%+$200
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs alohasquad (BO3) - CCT Series 7 Group Abacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$607Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$606.63
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs AVULUS - Game 2 Winnerbacked AVULUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$985Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$984.79
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs AVULUS - Game 1 Winnerbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+122.2%+$550
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs VP.Prodigy - Game 1 Winnerbacked VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$538Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+86%+$462.47
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Group Abacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+129.5%+$282.15
Dota 2: 1win vs AVULUS (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$620
Dota 2: 1win vs AVULUS - Game 1 Winnerbacked AVULUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+66.7%+$200
Dota 2: Aurora vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winnerbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+95.7%+$288.9
Dota 2: Winter Bear vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$551Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$550.64
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,315Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+53.8%+$708.19
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$613Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+100%+$612.69
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,505Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+33.4%+$502
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,752Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+47.9%+$839.45
Dota 2: Heroic vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,237Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+33.4%+$412.81
Showing 25 of 97 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST4742.6%20 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Alabama State Hornets (-2.5)backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$774Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$773.74
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Akron Zipsbacked Akron Zips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+42.9%+$175.79
New Mexico Lobos vs. Grand Canyon Antelopesbacked Grand Canyon Antelopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$275
Portland Pilots vs. San Diego Torerosbacked San Diego Toreros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+150%+$299.99
Missouri Tigers vs. Texas A&M Aggiesbacked Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$360
Stanford Cardinal vs. Boston College Eaglesbacked Boston College Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$280
Michigan Wolverines vs. Northwestern Wildcatsbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+233.3%+$350
Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Kansas State Wildcatsbacked Kansas State Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$275
Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Georgia Southern Eaglesbacked Georgia Southern Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$275
Jacksonville Dolphins vs. Stetson Hattersbacked Stetson Hatters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+150%+$300
Chattanooga Mocs vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneersbacked Chattanooga Mocs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$163.65
Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Kent State Golden Flashesbacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+150%+$300
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds vs. Lafayette Leopardsbacked Lafayette Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$209.3
Iowa State Cyclones vs. TCU Horned Frogsbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$177.37
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. LSU Tigersbacked LSU Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$279.38
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+177.8%+$639.66
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Florida State Seminolesbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+143.4%+$642.57
Milwaukee Panthers vs. IU Indy Jaguarsbacked Milwaukee Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+111.5%+$11.45
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders vs. New Orleans Privateersbacked New Orleans Privateers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$527Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+279.4%+$1,472.85
Xavier Musketeers vs. St. John's Red Stormbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$607Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+100%+$607.39
Long Beach State Beach vs. California-San Diego Tritonsbacked California-San Diego Tritons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+150%+$300
Tarleton State Texans vs. California Baptist Lancersbacked California Baptist Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+150%+$300
Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppersbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$194.71
Eastern Washington Eagles vs. Montana Grizzliesbacked Montana Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$265
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST4436.4%16 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$226.76
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$798Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+42.9%+$342
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+53.8%+$315.21
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$451Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+121.8%+$549.17
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers - Game 4 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$460
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs - Game 3 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+100%+$204.77
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$180
LoL: GAM Esports vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,133Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$1,132.76
LoL: GAM Esports vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$150.42
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$300
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$528Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$528.24
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+233.4%+$700.01
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$51.25
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 4 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$330.08
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 3 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$743Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$743.1
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,235Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$1,234.72
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+265.7%+$1,308.48
LoL: DRX Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$559Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$559.47
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$500
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+56.4%+$360.56
LoL: Team Liquid vs Dignitas (BO1) - LCS Lock In Last Chance Qualifierbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+110.8%+$537.95
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$131.66
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+233.9%+$770.57
LoL: DRX vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$300
LoL: DRX vs OKSavingsBank BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST2445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+117.4%+$540
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+132.6%+$570
Bulls vs. Celticsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$119.65
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$540
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Wizards vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$200
76ers vs. Warriorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+170.3%+$604.94
Lakers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$170
76ers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$278.03
Pelicans vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+150%+$300
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+115%+$267.4
Clippers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$145
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$28.27
76ers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+177.8%+$18.1
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+42.9%+$39.43
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$56.16
Trail Blazers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+38.9%+$19.42
Spread: Raptors (-6.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$26.92
Mavericks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$31.16
Pelicans vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+35.1%+$3.64
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$79.56
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$99.92
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+37%+$27.98
Pelicans vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+38.1%+$52.62
All 24 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-27.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+29.9%+$33.12
Will Pisa SC win on 2025-12-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+35.1%+$32.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+104.1%+$134.97
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$99.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$454Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+117.4%+$533.52
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$400
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eyüpspor win on 2026-01-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+66.7%+$105.2
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$81
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+163.2%+$581.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$4,669Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$4,669.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs Nexus - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$104.78
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.