Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - CCT Series 7 Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd546ff279ee6746504bfec0bcbde11eaadadd585daa8a392047d263594c1684e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inner Circleof Inner Circle, Spirit Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,556
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,556 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Spirit Academy | 26c | 2,196$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.81 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Spirit Academy | 28c | 1,841$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.45 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…f674backed Inner Circle | 72c | 1,800$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Inner Circle | 74c | 1,194$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.35 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Spirit Academy | 3c | 1,014$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Spirit Academy | 19c | 898.94$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.8 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Spirit Academy | 26c | 884.53$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.86 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Inner Circle | 72c | 704.66$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.3 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked Inner Circle | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…461fbacked Inner Circle | 71c | 553$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed Spirit Academy | 24c | 526$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.24 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Inner Circle | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.34 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Inner Circle | 73c | 454.91$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.16 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Spirit Academy | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.44 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Spirit Academy | 27c | 395$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.65 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Inner Circle | 76c | 345$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.05 | 52 | 80.8%42 W · 10 L | +8.6wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…cf50backed Spirit Academy | 22c | 342.77$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.07 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Inner Circle | 75c | 273.58$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.04 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Spirit Academy | 25c | 235.76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.75 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Inner Circle | 77c | 199.99$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.48 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…3499backed Spirit Academy | 27c | 199.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Spirit Academy | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Spirit Academy | 28c | 199.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Spirit Academy | 27c | 182.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…ce91backed Spirit Academy | 33c | 172.52$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.36 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Spirit Academy | 23c | 169.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3584…e59dbacked Inner Circle | 68c | 159.18$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd7…6c52backed Spirit Academy | 30c | 157.18$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Spirit Academy | 24c | 153.22$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e30…c14dbacked Inner Circle | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b1…a7b6backed Inner Circle | 72c | 134.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Inner Circle | 78c | 133.63$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d3…5ea8backed Inner Circle | 73c | 130.61$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb66…c8dfbacked Inner Circle | 70c | 101.97$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Inner Circle | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Inner Circle | 78c | 99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…1cf4backed Spirit Academy | 28c | 98.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Inner Circle | 58c | 89.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.46 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Spirit Academy | 29c | 82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c2…3c0abacked Spirit Academy | 29c | 81.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd56c…1cf9backed Spirit Academy | 26c | 80.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Spirit Academy | 15c | 70.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Spirit Academy | 32c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2dc…b534backed Spirit Academy | 26c | 68.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Inner Circle | 73c | 67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…4a23backed Spirit Academy | 26c | 64.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Spirit Academy | 25c | 63.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed Spirit Academy | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e2…8459backed Inner Circle | 75c | 57.33$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Inner Circle | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Spirit Academy | 25c | 52.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Inner Circle | 79c | 46.2$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Spirit Academy | 33c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…c36abacked Inner Circle | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7008…aa70backed Inner Circle | 67c | 28.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d2…3c94backed Inner Circle | 79c | 25.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Inner Circle | 75c | 21.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a2…90d5backed Inner Circle | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7346…5cf8backed Inner Circle | 72c | 13.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - CCT Series 7 Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 WinnerInner Circle won
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 WinnerInner Circle won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.