Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: 1win vs AVULUS (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86f3ddcdee660bb0469fd55dbaba732c401640fc0c57882a227939d65d18e9ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AVULUSof 1win, AVULUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,958
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac70…2d8dbacked AVULUS | 41c | 12,266$4,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,276.24 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed AVULUS | 43c | 7,465$3,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,264.09 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed 1win | 65c | 7,136$4,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,611.01 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 1win | 41c | 6,192$2,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,533.06 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked 1win | 57c | 5,417$3,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,073.64 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed AVULUS | 51c | 3,796$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860.09 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf801…901cbacked AVULUS | 49c | 2,400$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.95 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed 1win | 51c | 2,166$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.19 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed 1win | 51c | 2,077$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.27 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed AVULUS | 55c | 2,028$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.75 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed 1win | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8568…bc38backed 1win | 6c | 1,778$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed 1win | 60c | 1,678$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.87 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed AVULUS | 31c | 1,650$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.5 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…582dbacked 1win | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf2…7706backed AVULUS | 36c | 1,507$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.37 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -44%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 1win | 48c | 1,121$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.24 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed 1win | 69c | 1,094$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.87 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked 1win | 53c | 736.95$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.5 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed AVULUS | 45c | 728.42$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.12 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed 1win | 67c | 707.26$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.4 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed AVULUS | 43c | 700.85$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.09 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed 1win | 63c | 636.67$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed AVULUS | 46c | 570$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.19 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4605…5299backed AVULUS | 37c | 536.53$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.53 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed 1win | 44c | 525.79$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.76 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed 1win | 39c | 500$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.97 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed 1win | 37c | 470$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.9 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked 1win | 54c | 431.62$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce24…6239backed AVULUS | 32c | 422.61$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.37 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed AVULUS | 50c | 379.85$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.27 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked 1win | 58c | 332.9$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.08 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed 1win | 67c | 310$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.7 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed AVULUS | 43c | 302.96$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.15 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed AVULUS | 77c | 268.13$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.59 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked AVULUS | 35c | 257.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.69 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked AVULUS | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed AVULUS | 40c | 220.95$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.59 | 52 | 80.8%42 W · 10 L | +8.6wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed AVULUS | 52c | 202.4$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.15 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked AVULUS | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked AVULUS | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked AVULUS | 37c | 191.07$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.98 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed 1win | 13c | 180.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e13…391fbacked AVULUS | 33c | 178.92$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.88 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed 1win | 63c | 158.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…89d0backed 1win | 65c | 155$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.75 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…d6a4backed 1win | 64c | 154.22$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked AVULUS | 35c | 149$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.36 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 1win | 60c | 148.28$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.97 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 1win | 61c | 136.58$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.28 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked AVULUS | 50c | 134.63$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.37 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23e2…8a3cbacked AVULUS | 63c | 129.24$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ba…1783backed 1win | 17c | 117.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed AVULUS | 37c | 115.96$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.95 | 151 | 31.8%48 W · 103 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8a…d30fbacked 1win | 65c | 112.85$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.35 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5c…7b06backed 1win | 51c | 105$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed 1win | 66c | 103$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.98 | 136 | 57.4%78 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed AVULUS | 36c | 101.32$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.7 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff2…b6ecbacked 1win | 16c | 100.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6698…e620backed 1win | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked 1win | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f39…c65cbacked 1win | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed 1win | 64c | 99.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…c7aebacked AVULUS | 79c | 98.63$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed 1win | 56c | 95.34$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.11 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed 1win | 54c | 94.01$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x246f…b5aabacked 1win | 39c | 77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +200.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…a75bbacked AVULUS | 41c | 76.42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x534d…f488backed 1win | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 39cpaid | -50%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…f674backed AVULUS | 34c | 73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked 1win | 49c | 68.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca3…ac80backed AVULUS | 37c | 67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc840…9cf6backed AVULUS | 46c | 63.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed AVULUS | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…4134backed AVULUS | 34c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9176…0468backed 1win | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…423abacked AVULUS | 39c | 56.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1409…9a8fbacked 1win | 46c | 46.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed AVULUS | 44c | 46.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.15 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed 1win | 43c | 46.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e97…1481backed AVULUS | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14de…489cbacked 1win | 49c | 45.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed 1win | 65c | 43.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2608…34c1backed 1win | 66c | 42.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked 1win | 53c | 40.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed AVULUS | 44c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked AVULUS | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 66cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3731…405fbacked AVULUS | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…5459backed 1win | 64c | 39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed 1win | 60c | 37.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd56c…1cf9backed AVULUS | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b48…c530backed 1win | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed 1win | 63c | 30.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d2…3c94backed 1win | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…205fbacked 1win | 61c | 26.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed 1win | 64c | 25.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec48…d04cbacked 1win | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked AVULUS | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 444 | 74.8%332 W · 112 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: 1win vs AVULUS (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: 1win vs AVULUS - Game 1 WinnerAVULUS won
- Dota 2: 1win vs AVULUS - Game 2 Winner1win won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.