TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9176…0468

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
228
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: CS2, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 60 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT13569.6%94 W · 41 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 135 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.89
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.65
LoL: Dignitas vs Disguised (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$17.65
LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.42
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.13
LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.49
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.82
LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.56
LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.34
LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.33
LoL: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.35
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.19
LoL: Citadel Gaming vs Blue Otter - Game 2 Winnerbacked Citadel Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+58.6%+$8.59
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.18
LoL: KT Rolster vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$50.46
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.54
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$12.37
LoL: Dignitas vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$13.61
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.99
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+42%+$14.44
LoL: SK Gaming vs Shifters - Game 2 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$21.54
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.23
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.43
LoL: Conviction vs Citadel Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Conviction · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.54
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.74
Showing 25 of 135 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+39.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,385Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$927.41
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$29.32
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$22.16
Pelicans vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$44.71
Pelicans vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$21.32
Magic vs. Clippersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+33.3%+$86.15
Raptors vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Bucks vs. Thunderbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+58.7%+$15.27
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+81.8%+$32.73
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Trail Blazers vs. Wizardsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+132.6%+$56.97
Timberwolves vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+316.7%+$97.34
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Mavericks vs. Knicksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+426.3%+$63.95
Clippers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Thunder vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Trail Blazers vs. Kingsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+40.8%+$40.85
All 19 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1888.9%16 W · 2 L+3.8wins+0.21per pick68cpaid+35.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
CS2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$24
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$84
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.48
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$51.08
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+94.6%+$94.58
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+27.9%+$35.89
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs ENCE - Map 2 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+29%+$28.96
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+53.8%+$32.31
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+26.6%+$15.95
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$668Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+37.5%+$250.22
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs K27 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.41
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+31.6%+$18.95
Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+28.4%+$22.73
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+42.6%+$93.13
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+25%+$10
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+56.3%+$67.5
All 18 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.87
Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs Misa Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Enterprise Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.64
Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
Valorant: MIBR vs NRG (BO5) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+35.6%+$10.68
Valorant: MIBR vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+25.9%+$9.56
Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses - Map 2 Winnerbacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+36.2%+$7.25
Valorant: Paper Rex vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+53.8%+$20.6
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Valorant: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+61.3%+$24.52
Valorant: Team Secret vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Valorant: DRX vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+45.7%+$342.84
All 11 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.61
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+84.2%+$33.68
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+56.3%+$113.33
Dota 2: 1win vs AVULUS (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Heroic (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+31.6%+$12.63
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+41.6%+$14.7
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO5) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-29.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-30.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-55.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+38.9%+$22.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+37%+$22.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$605Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$190.91
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.