TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: fnatic vs K27 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
fnaticof fnatic, K27
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$403,220
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$548,085

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $403,220 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked fnatic55c129,678$71,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,947.6739249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98cd…61f9backed K2720c25,518$5,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,111.731526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-51%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2a8…5c27backed K270c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked fnatic57c17,318$9,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,371.9427133.2%90 W · 181 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed fnatic63c9,305$5,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,417.2267041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed K2748c7,998$3,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,839.1188242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked K2746c6,599$3,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,064.631,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked K2745c6,010$2,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,710.863,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc8f…a7bbbacked fnatic56c6,000$3,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6403265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf801…901cbacked K2744c5,906$2,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5842250%11 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked K2748c5,854$2,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,809.9235850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked K2748c5,420$2,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,601.61030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f3e…41c9backed K2711c3,584$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.772528%7 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed K2748c3,300$1,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,58423852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked K2748c3,037$1,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,457.8812153.7%65 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed K2735c3,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.9916653%88 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked fnatic57c2,651$1,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,141.941,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed K2741c2,500$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02584958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed K2740c2,006$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.1950833.5%170 W · 338 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed K2748c1,873$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.546843.4%203 W · 265 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ae…04b2backed K2748c1,700$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.91633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-46.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked fnatic66c1,697$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.772,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8568…bc38backed fnatic26c1,603$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.941811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-62.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed fnatic66c1,516$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.0617240.7%70 W · 102 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed K2741c1,500$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61511249.1%55 W · 57 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed K2722c1,500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3306432.8%21 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x78e0…375bbacked K2751c1,466$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.043231.3%10 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8e4…2daebacked fnatic54c1,432$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.2512736.2%46 W · 81 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed K2746c1,307$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.3726743.1%115 W · 152 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a3…9a3bbacked fnatic65c1,223$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.427342.5%31 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed K2774c1,113$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.5211643.1%50 W · 66 L-13.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-27.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed fnatic52c1,071$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.266,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb569…6fe0backed K2748c845.21$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.738452.3%201 W · 183 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcd6…84cdbacked K2718c799.99$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85f9…51b1backed K2749c700$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34310753.3%57 W · 50 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked fnatic54c658.38$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.031,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked K2734c655.45$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.6132930.4%100 W · 229 L-21.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-50.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d30…1a5ebacked K2736c619.5$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.625354.7%29 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked K2748c585.7$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.999548.4%46 W · 49 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked K2744c580$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.233459%197 W · 137 L+24.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed K2745c577.06$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.234,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked K272c555$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.023531.4%11 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbd2…f8a0backed K2740c534.78$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.9118752.4%98 W · 89 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93c8…adffbacked fnatic53c518.62$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.3614046.4%65 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed K2740c502$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.7897040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked K2750c500$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.0327530.9%85 W · 190 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb70c…41d5backed fnatic60c499.64$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.8634235.4%121 W · 221 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fa9…efa6backed K2752c496.33$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x308f…e152backed K2745c492.84$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.789254.3%50 W · 42 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed K2736c476.14$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.3450043%215 W · 285 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed K2737c450$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16819247.9%92 W · 100 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed K2722c428.18$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.612,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked K2728c425.53$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.1524939.8%99 W · 150 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed K2744c425$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1875,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ee…456fbacked fnatic65c407.69$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.6912568.8%86 W · 39 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked fnatic56c392.86$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.8610251%52 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c15…73b3backed K2760c368.9$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.882458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1427…145abacked K2757c352.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.02955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed K2773c341.31$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.4941260.9%251 W · 161 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked K2742c309.99$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.248242.1%203 W · 279 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed K2743c308.82$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.745244.5%201 W · 251 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fbb…39dabacked fnatic51c303.73$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.569349.5%46 W · 47 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+32.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac0c…739cbacked K2739c301.99$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.9966034.1%225 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x411e…ea8bbacked K2714c300$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick13cpaid+138.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed K2747c295.98$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.1158961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b45…077ebacked fnatic53c293.9$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.249562.1%59 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked K2741c292.68$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12054348.6%264 W · 279 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked fnatic55c291.91$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.2684037.9%318 W · 522 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef71…898bbacked fnatic73c290$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.312946.5%60 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0825…5e07backed fnatic51c287.12$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.631369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick48cpaid+34.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc13…83b8backed K2750c281.17$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.335947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x494c…8923backed fnatic53c264.15$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.1512351.2%63 W · 60 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33f1…7a59backed K2745c253.33$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11418543.2%80 W · 105 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48ff…8280backed K2727c236.11$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a5d…3367backed fnatic46c224.77$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.971968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed K2746c216.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038835.8%139 W · 249 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed K2736c208.42$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7650340.2%202 W · 301 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed K2749c205$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4512742.5%54 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked K2749c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035550.1%178 W · 177 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked fnatic69c202.14$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1461754.8%338 W · 279 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked K2750c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10049849.6%247 W · 251 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked fnatic22c200$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15616240.1%65 W · 97 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed fnatic50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002055%11 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fca…2e16backed fnatic30c199.99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1404247.6%20 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed fnatic48c192$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.841,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e59…1520backed fnatic53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.686038.3%23 W · 37 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2cc5…7b98backed fnatic53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.681850%9 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdd1…ae72backed K2741c181.83$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5528852.1%150 W · 138 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed K2743c177.93$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.2731731.9%101 W · 216 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x087c…efa7backed fnatic78c177.1$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.96560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed K2739c175.68$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.4310632.1%34 W · 72 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b14…2d9bbacked K2770c175.34$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.465453.7%29 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed fnatic34c173$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.1831444.9%141 W · 173 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9d9…5084backed fnatic60c165.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed fnatic64c160.14$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.522045.5%100 W · 120 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed K2741c150$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.517745.8%81 W · 96 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1850…4e9ebacked K2714c149.97$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.51330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-42.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed fnatic57c140.56$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.961,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac23…c1fcbacked K2745c131.88$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607138%27 W · 44 L-9.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-26.3%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed fnatic76c131.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.773661.1%22 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.