TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xda32…04a1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
765
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Middle East, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 61 out of 100; worst Boxing at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT42148.2%203 W · 218 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 421 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LYON vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$914Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$914.4
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$156
Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$461.12
LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.78
LoL: RED Canids vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.89
LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$258
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+69.6%+$487.07
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$222.8
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$335.99
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.29
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.65
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.19
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$270
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$264
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$156
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$357.44
LoL: Disguised vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$468
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$186
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$624Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$576
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.18
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$294
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$487Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$487.36
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$324
Showing 25 of 421 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT31444.9%141 W · 173 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 314 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 3 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.55
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$311.99
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.58
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.3
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$377.99
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$363.52
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$245.65
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.6
Will FalleN retire by June 1? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.36
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$318.83
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$309.03
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.53
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$289.22
Counter-Strike: G2 vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$406Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$182.54
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$229.93
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+376.9%+$451.7
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$380.5
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$864Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$370.35
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 2 Winnerbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.35
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$358.24
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.81
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$199.84
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 3 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$371.99
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$344
Showing 25 of 314 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.40per pick35cpaid+87.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+29%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: Team Shpilit (-1.5) vs AVULUS (+1.5)backed Team Shpilit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.79
Game Handicap: AVL (-1.5) vs Team Shpilit (+1.5)backed AVULUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+131.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,301Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+131.4%+$1,709.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elissa Finley get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+105.2%+$333.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$439Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$150.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GALBOT have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Southampton FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$4,877Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$4,877.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oeiras 2: Matilde Jorge vs Francisca Jorgebacked Jorge · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$366.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$248
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.