Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83f2c011fb7ce6d3b5e245cc32e48e452c6067143e2dd6ea7b4926894f052735
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,726
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,726 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a7c…d9b6backed No | 75c | 5,673$4,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.43 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…c419backed Yes | 8c | 4,162$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.35 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f56…2a4cbacked Yes | 31c | 1,784$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.74 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 16c | 1,730$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.92 | 68 | 25%17 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf567…b53cbacked Yes | 56c | 1,714$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.03 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 31c | 1,265$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.08 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed Yes | 16c | 1,257$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.35 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +41.8wins | +0.30per pick | 34cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 78+0.26 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 1,241$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9818…7cd3backed Yes | 47c | 1,203$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.41 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 4c | 988.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 492 | 8.7%43 W · 449 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…c03ebacked No | 53c | 970$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 15c | 927.56$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.31 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 9c | 908.72$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.18 | 129 | 18.6%24 W · 105 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 13c | 859.16$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.76 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 8c | 842.32$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.41 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 3c | 803.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb862…5aaebacked No | 51c | 762$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.38 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea7…2550backed Yes | 48c | 743$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.64 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e3…5907backed No | 56c | 730$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 27c | 712$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.46 | 292 | 54.8%160 W · 132 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…93f7backed Yes | 47c | 694$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.18 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b32…c8a9backed No | 56c | 675$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 3c | 659.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf977…aff0backed No | 56c | 652$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.88 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…fb20backed No | 50c | 638.62$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.22 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2756…42efbacked Yes | 49c | 634$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.66 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76fd…e8c4backed Yes | 44c | 629$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.76 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed Yes | 44c | 621$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.24 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Yes | 69c | 611.11$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.97 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe07c…1307backed Yes | 46c | 607$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.22 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8727…83d7backed Yes | 48c | 569$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d5…2e11backed No | 76c | 568$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.32 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2eb…5751backed No | 52c | 556$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.88 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf100…2fcabacked No | 54c | 546$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25fd…e685backed Yes | 10c | 538$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…91a9backed No | 53c | 517$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.99 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +131.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9d…a002backed No | 53c | 478$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.66 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…eb3abacked Yes | 47c | 478$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.66 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c5…b4e1backed Yes | 24c | 478$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.72 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…23bebacked Yes | 30c | 475.35$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.78 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc336…9f48backed No | 56c | 468$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.92 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…f2f3backed No | 28c | 462.12$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.72 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x367a…d7c0backed No | 47c | 454.13$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.36 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4198…df89backed Yes | 13c | 441.19$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4165…da31backed No | 59c | 427.17$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.17 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c8…0e01backed Yes | 8c | 423.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 78 | 16.7%13 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf55…7d8abacked Yes | 44c | 423$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.12 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f85…e5a3backed No | 52c | 422$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.56 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e14…3e23backed Yes | 80c | 400$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 38c | 399.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.99 | 264 | 29.2%77 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9078…26afbacked Yes | 49c | 383.4$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.47 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f75…550abacked Yes | 11c | 383.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5be7…46eebacked Yes | 44c | 379$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.76 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d5…c4c0backed No | 48c | 367.92$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.63 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 4c | 364.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5395…9d41backed No | 52c | 353$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.44 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3d…7a79backed No | 79c | 335.87$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b7…f43cbacked Yes | 14c | 334.07$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.61 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b2…9d96backed Yes | 38c | 325$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccb3…2eadbacked Yes | 63c | 316.81$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.67 | 125 | 44%55 W · 70 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0eb…e702backed Yes | 3c | 316.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 3c | 303$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 199 | 5%10 W · 189 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…20f5backed No | 36c | 299.14$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.96 | 213 | 33.8%72 W · 141 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaa…51dfbacked Yes | 37c | 283.23$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.29 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | +9.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc245…bccbbacked Yes | 6c | 280$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4d…bf6fbacked No | 73c | 274$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.12 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes | 35c | 273.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bca…53dcbacked No | 74c | 272.71$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.08 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d24…a2e9backed No | 52c | 266$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.68 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…48dabacked Yes | 48c | 266$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.68 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…5b18backed Yes | 49c | 254$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.46 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ab…56e8backed No | 51c | 254$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.46 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa6…e8b6backed No | 60c | 250.55$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9774…6d3cbacked Yes | 47c | 236$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.92 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9f9ebacked No | 53c | 236$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.92 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6962…745ebacked No | 62c | 235.66$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.66 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb376…3ecebacked Yes | 52c | 229.99$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.5 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed No | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab4…d172backed Yes | 51c | 196.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked No | 52c | 194.6$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.41 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f0…f05fbacked Yes | 48c | 190$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e42…0dfebacked Yes | 13c | 177.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 165 | 7.3%12 W · 153 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9a…cc24backed No | 53c | 177$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.19 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb18…2372backed No | 53c | 177$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.19 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 13c | 174.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…2c93backed Yes | 42c | 165.37$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 88 | 67%59 W · 29 L | +15.2wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +72%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a8…6e67backed Yes | 13c | 160.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 75c | 156.06$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.26 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb25f…a460backed Yes | 46c | 153.57$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc207…b24ebacked No | 62c | 152.94$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.94 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8903…0dc2backed Yes | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…4a1cbacked Yes | 65c | 147.61$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e29…d190backed Yes | 44c | 146$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.24 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafc5…866bbacked Yes | 38c | 143.61$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.63 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Yes | 21c | 142.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 48c | 138.03$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.82 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 52c | 133.52$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -23.0wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed Yes | 25c | 132.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 200 | 35.5%71 W · 129 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb0…0d4cbacked Yes | 49c | 128$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?this page
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 1, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 11, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 12, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 14, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 15, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 17, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 2, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 20, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 21, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 23, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 24, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 25, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 26, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 27, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 28, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 3, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 4, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 5, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 6, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 8, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.