Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 12, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d6dc81a6009314b8e16be7413cf40086142a6a4274d5b80179f6d1ff4f64ed7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $124,627
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,627 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9939…d3bebacked No | 0c | 10,081$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 78 | 12.8%10 W · 68 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 1c | 6,535$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33e3…00dabacked Yes | 8c | 3,059$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.92 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 3c | 2,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +9.6wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…2494backed No | 0c | 2,409$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969b…db70backed No | 1c | 1,818$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f56…2a4cbacked Yes | 35c | 1,420$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.97 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 10c | 1,188$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.20per pick | 19cpaid | +102%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x19e1…976dbacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc537…f385backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e91…134ebacked Yes | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc6…e280backed No | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8348…de9fbacked No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ec…5968backed No | 32c | 760.56$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.42 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf22…5473backed Yes | 67c | 748.26$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.26 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…dd76backed Yes | 58c | 689.92$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.52 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59d2…dea8backed No | 73c | 684.94$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…9144backed Yes | 2c | 636.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 22cpaid | +1,438.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…3a04backed No | 11c | 619.1$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.41 | 201 | 31.8%64 W · 137 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb28…74f4backed Yes | 48c | 515$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x303d…a1c9backed Yes | 41c | 510.2$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.8 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64c9…6bdebacked Yes | 47c | 503$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.59 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cb…ab6abacked No | 53c | 503$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.59 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked No | 33c | 500$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +24.9wins | +0.25per pick | 30cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…dd5fbacked No | 52c | 495$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a7…afb5backed Yes | 48c | 435$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.2 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71fb…9b65backed Yes | 47c | 430$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a8…7efabacked No | 53c | 430$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.9 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 5c | 426$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.7 | 492 | 8.7%43 W · 449 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed No | 12c | 419.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 202 | 43.1%87 W · 115 L | +30.9wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 3c | 416$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 156 | 25%39 W · 117 L | +17.9wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7769…9991backed Yes | 4c | 405.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +317.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 23c | 382.13$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.13 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdb…75dbbacked Yes | 3c | 337$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89a7…e7dbbacked No | 56c | 333$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.45 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 18c | 331$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.61 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 20c | 328.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 15c | 326.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.39 | 68 | 25%17 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb60d…bfb5backed No | 59c | 301.3$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.64 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7833…d56cbacked Yes | 42c | 300.41$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.41 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…e7f9backed Yes | 4c | 300$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 20cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15ae…2b33backed No | 9c | 299.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5885…6562backed No | 52c | 291$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.32 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…c5a4backed Yes | 50c | 279.4$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.4 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 5c | 274.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.24 | 147 | 7.5%11 W · 136 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 68c | 273.54$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.6 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 4c | 265.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.24 | 238 | 4.6%11 W · 227 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed Yes | 38c | 260.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.63 | 284 | 38.7%110 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…97e9backed Yes | 44c | 260$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.72 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6364…4b34backed Yes | 73c | 254.5$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.71 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 12c | 253.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.56 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad2…e9babacked Yes | 43c | 231.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.51 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e8…6f21backed No | 52c | 224$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.48 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…20f5backed No | 59c | 220.49$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.73 | 213 | 33.8%72 W · 141 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x769d…05bfbacked Yes | 9c | 214.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.93 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 52c | 210.89$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.9 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 36c | 205.08$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.14 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dbb…85cfbacked No | 49c | 204.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 17c | 189.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.19 | 187 | 9.1%17 W · 170 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9179…4096backed No | 51c | 183$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.02 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf65b…3588backed No | 55c | 180.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4165…da31backed No | 58c | 168.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.38 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…fb20backed No | 60c | 166.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e32…d1c4backed Yes | 43c | 162.84$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.84 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked No | 34c | 151$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.34 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…2e44backed Yes | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…3d33backed No | 69c | 144.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf633…c684backed No | 71c | 140.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcca9…af95backed No | 11c | 138.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 25cpaid | +316.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…8586backed No | 11c | 136.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6286…f59cbacked Yes | 41c | 122.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.56 | 255 | 18%46 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac76…9359backed No | 52c | 121.1$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.98 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Yes | 32c | 119.17$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.42 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d1…c800backed Yes | 45c | 111.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.69 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…92e0backed No | 52c | 101.71$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…2c93backed No | 71c | 100.6$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 88 | 67%59 W · 29 L | +15.2wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +72%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4be1…3feabacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 10cpaid | +333.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…f842backed No | 75c | 97.31$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.05 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3401…08ffbacked No | 55c | 91.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e0…2fa0backed No | 55c | 82.07$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…413dbacked No | 57c | 81.39$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e8…630fbacked No | 68c | 80$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e8…e631backed No | 71c | 79.11$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.17 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…c88dbacked Yes | 39c | 77.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.33 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 52cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed Yes | 18c | 76.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 124 | 33.1%41 W · 83 L | -12.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x42da…f3d3backed No | 54c | 74.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x669f…447bbacked Yes | 51c | 74.04$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee2b…312fbacked No | 74c | 73.64$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 44c | 70.63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 342 | 34.8%119 W · 223 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeed…1433backed No | 54c | 70.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fa…1327backed Yes | 59c | 67.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…f2f3backed No | 72c | 67.53$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98f8…fcaebacked No | 74c | 67.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd5…c45dbacked Yes | 42c | 65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…57b6backed Yes | 42c | 65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11c7…87a2backed Yes | 42c | 65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b30…6f30backed No | 58c | 65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a5…1441backed No | 58c | 65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x127d…f7cbbacked No | 58c | 65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x061c…1ad8backed No | 58c | 65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 12, 2026?this page
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 1, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 11, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 14, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 15, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 17, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 2, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 20, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 21, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 23, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 24, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 25, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 26, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 27, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 28, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 3, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 4, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 5, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 6, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 8, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.