Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 11, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9418a6eb53346485bf09a5c5666a8774ec736872807878c59a47fa12f8619520
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6ea…b02abacked Yes | 0c | 12,011$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 105 | 13.3%14 W · 91 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…2cc4backed Yes | 0c | 10,117$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f56…2a4cbacked Yes | 7c | 8,836$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.03 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00ee…1128backed Yes | 0c | 6,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…a238backed Yes | 1c | 5,728$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9939…d3bebacked Yes | 0c | 4,940$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 78 | 12.8%10 W · 68 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 0c | 4,468$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 228 | 2.6%6 W · 222 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 4,185$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 5c | 2,573$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.74 | 68 | 25%17 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 2c | 2,031$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 187 | 9.1%17 W · 170 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…d749backed Yes | 1c | 1,527$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 66 | 0%0 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 1,518$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9eb…f8c1backed Yes | 1c | 1,287$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f53…e075backed Yes | 61c | 1,273$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…e7f9backed Yes | 2c | 1,020$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 20cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0371…70c3backed Yes | 1c | 956.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68ba…0e6abacked No | 54c | 920$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.35 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.33per pick | 56cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea90…0f8fbacked Yes | 46c | 910.44$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.8 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27fa…d880backed Yes | 3c | 845.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 2c | 790.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 199 | 5%10 W · 189 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0eb…e702backed Yes | 13c | 787.46$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.6 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…ff14backed No | 46c | 702.29$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.48 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 35c | 679.93$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.71 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 670.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 238 | 4.6%11 W · 227 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…e8e9backed Yes | 49c | 623$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c24…b10ebacked Yes | 19c | 540.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -58%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 2c | 512.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 247 | 6.9%17 W · 230 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x303d…a1c9backed Yes | 3c | 510.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 52c | 489$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.74 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e54…9d03backed Yes | 20c | 452.56$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…0c32backed Yes | 49c | 405.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5661…ef17backed No | 49c | 393$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.43 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d23…aa07backed Yes | 51c | 393$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.43 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01f…8404backed Yes | 7c | 359.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +187.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…4f7bbacked Yes | 36c | 337.2$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…c5a4backed Yes | 51c | 332.08$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…e0e9backed No | 54c | 325.11$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.18 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b0…f655backed Yes | 4c | 325$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeed…1433backed Yes | 29c | 324.82$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x738f…ba83backed Yes | 47c | 320$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd103…469fbacked Yes | 64c | 314.52$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +87%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked No | 68c | 303.51$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.14 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf91…82eebacked Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0473…a58dbacked Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd301…2765backed Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…b669backed No | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d5…5a9bbacked Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e13…59dcbacked Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8be7…a722backed No | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…ac5fbacked No | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe745…453cbacked No | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4154…ff71backed No | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…8191backed No | 51c | 279$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x217e…09debacked No | 51c | 279$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.71 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed No | 67c | 278.5$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.68 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b10…e48fbacked Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0162…7785backed Yes | 36c | 240$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x513c…45ffbacked Yes | 36c | 240$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfcf…8f82backed Yes | 36c | 240$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…5edebacked No | 64c | 240$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…fd9ebacked No | 64c | 240$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…d1fabacked No | 64c | 240$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…aa16backed Yes | 36c | 240$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…59ddbacked Yes | 36c | 240$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…3d32backed No | 64c | 240$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…4909backed No | 64c | 240$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74c…b149backed No | 63c | 205$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.85 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcb…38aebacked No | 49c | 202.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91be…2641backed No | 51c | 201$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.49 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8257…da02backed No | 49c | 200.09$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.27 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 52c | 191.74$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.32 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd9…433abacked Yes | 38c | 180$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a9…df25backed Yes | 38c | 180$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4267…13ddbacked Yes | 38c | 180$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775c…9894backed Yes | 38c | 180$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe79c…e744backed No | 62c | 180$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e0…36a8backed No | 62c | 180$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d2…ddc5backed Yes | 38c | 180$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f1…16adbacked No | 62c | 180$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x804e…a9adbacked No | 62c | 180$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…5f59backed No | 62c | 180$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9179…4096backed No | 52c | 172.13$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.02 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a3…c6e8backed Yes | 7c | 160.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed49…8785backed No | 54c | 153.31$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.31 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 66c | 143.8$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.74 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked No | 70c | 142.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5372…5f61backed Yes | 49c | 136$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.64 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…21dabacked Yes | 33c | 133.53$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.67 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed Yes | 20c | 124.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 124 | 33.1%41 W · 83 L | -12.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac76…9359backed No | 40c | 112.87$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.02 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 68c | 112.54$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…9284backed Yes | 33c | 105.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd022…d7a0backed No | 39c | 101.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…aa1fbacked No | 76c | 101.09$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 67cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83cc…3bcdbacked No | 47c | 100.33$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.38 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb51c…502dbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.57 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…330abacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe937…d46abacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +7.8wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 11, 2026?this page
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 1, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 12, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 14, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 15, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 17, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 2, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 20, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 21, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 23, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 24, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 25, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 26, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 27, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 28, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 3, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 4, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 5, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 6, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 8, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.