TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf693…330a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tweets, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick70cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.2
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$79
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$17.38
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+37%+$16.74
LoL: LOS vs LOUD - Game 2 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.01
LoL: SK Gaming vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$23.42
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs DN Freecs (+1.5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+78.6%+$47.52
Game Handicap: DRX (-1.5) vs DN Freecs (+1.5)backed DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+38.9%+$39.2
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+58.7%+$73.99
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$102
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$149.95
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$263.13
All 14 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$8.4
Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs BOSS (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffsbacked BOSS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.61
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.69
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.67
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffsbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+61.3%+$36.1
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+44.9%+$20.33
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs fnatic (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$120.45
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stagebacked VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+66%+$39.78
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+25%+$20
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs OG (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+53.8%+$35
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+42.9%+$30
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick29cpaid+106.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+70%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Global Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$11.05
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$66.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$52.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.84
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.