TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: DRX (-1.5) vs DN Freecs (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
DN Freecsof DRX, DN Freecs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,853
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,027

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,853 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0775…b0c5backed DN Freecs67c703$471 inWon+$231.9925547.8%122 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed DN Freecs61c541.98$331 inWon+$211.371,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed DRX32c540$171 inLost-$171.22,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed DRX38c500$190 inLost-$19013136.6%48 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked DN Freecs62c500$310 inWon+$1901,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a2c…5172backed DRX37c461.8$170 inLost-$17043640.6%177 W · 259 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe781…19cdbacked DRX33c303$100 inLost-$99.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f9a…7ef9backed DRX37c270.43$100 inLost-$1001315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-54%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked DN Freecs63c260.29$165 inWon+$95.031,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf25…cd94backed DRX39c240.56$94 inLost-$93.824214.3%6 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf693…330abacked DN Freecs72c140$101 inWon+$39.21457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick70cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed DN Freecs68c122$83 inWon+$39.041136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-37%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed DN Freecs64c49.99$32 inWon+$1853954.7%295 W · 244 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed DRX36c33.61$12 inLost-$1212834.4%44 W · 84 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked DN Freecs63c30$19 inWon+$11.153955.1%297 W · 242 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.