TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$93,287
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,974

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,287 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed Under25c21,715$5,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,375.281,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Under22c14,187$3,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,152.491,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0775…b0c5backed Over54c7,493$4,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,449.225547.8%122 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5f…005fbacked Over76c7,474$5,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,795.89466%62 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Over60c5,876$3,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,332.7119146.1%88 W · 103 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94d9…51c5backed Over77c5,165$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.285062%31 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over68c3,600$2,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1438336.1%30 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed Over75c3,152$2,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.8614852%77 W · 71 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa117…a311backed Over78c3,000$2,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.674953.1%26 W · 23 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-20.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb29…e532backed Over57c2,870$1,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.291283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.7wins+0.31per pick53cpaid+53.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x755d…37e7backed Over78c2,622$2,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.7915166.2%100 W · 51 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c65…4f24backed Over78c2,500$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5507657.9%44 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Under27c2,500$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67711060%66 W · 44 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+23.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Under24c1,888$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.1113344.4%59 W · 74 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Under25c1,801$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.0918139.2%71 W · 110 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Under27c1,120$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.444335.4%157 W · 286 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef61…775ebacked Over76c1,058$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.681681.3%13 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick63cpaid+28.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb67…fd46backed Under22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2204531.1%14 W · 31 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5a14…fdf3backed Under23c802.62$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+152.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Over77c732.56$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.9482161%501 W · 320 L+1.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x534b…983fbacked Over77c700$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16242835%150 W · 278 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over76c657.89$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.8992354.3%501 W · 422 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Under35c600$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2102,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Over76c501.32$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.3216344.8%73 W · 90 L-12.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d29…6da9backed Over65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17532752.9%173 W · 154 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Under23c499.98$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1151,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Under24c440$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.538252.4%43 W · 39 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9cb…bdcdbacked Over70c425.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.7820649%101 W · 105 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe86a…e272backed Over55c419.5$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.6524649.2%121 W · 125 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over74c419.1$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.031,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8afe…aec0backed Over74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.411560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe379…377cbacked Under26c389.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-33.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8658…41c6backed Over74c342.93$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.163863.2%24 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ac…6b83backed Over77c324.68$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6828643%123 W · 163 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bd5…8f67backed Over72c304.59$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.5919251%98 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe200…5886backed Over77c260.18$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.1823752.7%125 W · 112 L-13.5wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-8.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x12cb…4fe3backed Over77c234.36$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.97266.7%48 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Under28c224.75$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9316851.2%86 W · 82 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1134…848fbacked Over76c224.07$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.781850%9 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcefa…40bbbacked Over76c220$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.96462.5%40 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc97e…ea6fbacked Under26c209.56$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.617034.3%24 W · 46 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under26c208.52$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0413940.3%56 W · 83 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Under25c208.41$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.154129.9%162 W · 379 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc19b…a935backed Under24c199.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4821937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Over6c198.74$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.821233%70 W · 142 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x802e…adf4backed Over78c179.49$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.494961.2%30 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Over75c178.21$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3153955.1%297 W · 242 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Under29c170$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.366445.6%303 W · 361 L+14.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0af…5490backed Over76c166.49$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9612242.6%52 W · 70 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed Under24c160.14$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3811037.3%41 W · 69 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fb…66b2backed Over76c152$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.485056%28 W · 22 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb66…5e13backed Over77c150$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.53855.3%21 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7193…5380backed Over74c136.96$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8f0…71afbacked Over77c136.36$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc42…01b2backed Over75c134.98$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3413154.2%71 W · 60 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b59…7155backed Over76c134.2$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.212373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b23…8af0backed Over75c133$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2521448.6%104 W · 110 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0a6…e5b0backed Over76c131.61$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd777…daf8backed Over76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.581376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick72cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ba5…8886backed Over76c130.76$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbc7…a086backed Over79c128.61$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73e8…7921backed Over78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.215667.9%38 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x278f…6da6backed Over79c126.92$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Over79c126.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6720759.4%123 W · 84 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Under25c122.24$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5610823.1%25 W · 83 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc168…5024backed Over76c120$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.82161.9%13 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5db…b42dbacked Over76c118.42$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4211859.3%70 W · 48 L-11.2wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-14.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x50f6…b8c6backed Under24c102.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d27…9c97backed Over76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244165.9%27 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d81…a577backed Over65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf88b…0ed2backed Over77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2311354%61 W · 52 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x865d…47aabacked Under24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e66…8ca1backed Under50c99.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012254.9%67 W · 55 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Over75c99.99$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2517345.7%79 W · 94 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce77…4715backed Under27c96.97$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x571a…4834backed Over49c80.86$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.86666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6d7…3942backed Over77c77.92$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.928760.9%53 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Over79c75.95$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9511258%65 W · 47 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed Under25c72.91$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.31,37248.6%667 W · 705 L+57.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7325…0574backed Under28c71.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202536%9 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb03…46dcbacked Over77c70$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.142751.5%220 W · 207 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5e8e…00abbacked Under29c69.39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010342.7%44 W · 59 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x76ef…f934backed Over76c65.45$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.455263.5%33 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9de5…e8f5backed Over77c65.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1919559.5%116 W · 79 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-8.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x834d…29ecbacked Over77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.942842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c8f…de8abacked Over75c60$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1579345.4%360 W · 433 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb765…09c3backed Under25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under25c59.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d46…1a6bbacked Under24c54.17$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd395…3731backed Under28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156636.4%24 W · 42 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb88…41b0backed Over76c52.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6713857.2%79 W · 59 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd641…0635backed Over75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.56848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e6…79b5backed Over77c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.535966.6%239 W · 120 L-13.7wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36fa…1125backed Under36c49.97$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.99850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Under24c48.51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8522955.5%127 W · 102 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2de…8438backed Over45c44.35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.35540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe589…5d00backed Over77c43.3$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.964568.9%31 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa188…3fccbacked Over74c40.53$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5421060%126 W · 84 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbda…f10fbacked Under25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105240.4%21 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Under55c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2264146.5%298 W · 343 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.