TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5e8e…00ab

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
260
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Tennis, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 51 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT13645.6%62 W · 74 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 136 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,566.7%+$783.33
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$40
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.21
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Raptorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Magic vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$66.72
Mavericks vs. Netsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Spurs vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$79.48
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Magic vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$19.91
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+93.9%+$10.04
Grizzlies vs. Heatbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
76ers vs. Pelicansbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$75.68
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+56.4%+$36.54
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+53.8%+$15.69
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$88.59
Showing 25 of 136 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10342.7%44 W · 59 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 103 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.51
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.41
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$79.92
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Gen.G win the LCK Cup 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Will BNK FEARX win the LCK Cup 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+55.1%+$44.25
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$15.79
LoL: Sentinels vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+122.2%+$24.44
LoL: Sentinels vs LYON - Game 4 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+79.9%+$23.96
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$48.83
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$88.83
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$29.69
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+35.1%+$31.48
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+38.9%+$24.53
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+58.2%+$28.6
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$79.22
Will T1 win the LCK Cup 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$18.46
Showing 25 of 103 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-64.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: BLG vs TESbacked TES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hobart International, Qualification: Darja Semenistaja vs Moyuka Uchijimabacked Semenistaja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Tech Trailblazersbacked California Baptist Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morgan Stanley (MS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Predatorsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.