TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$934,766
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$882,345

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $934,766 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 762 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3f10…76b3backed Yes43c28,894$12,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,552.351729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-52.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes2c25,321$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.8368446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9106…afcbbacked No56c13,127$7,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,775.682133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-34.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Yes36c12,911$4,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6481330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-53.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98f7…b3e4backed Yes28c10,030$2,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,813.272030%6 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed No64c9,748$6,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,518.7816226.5%43 W · 119 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-30.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes11c9,549$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.2847738.6%184 W · 293 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes41c9,522$3,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,880.6175852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1223…d424backed No61c8,236$5,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,199.781729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-43.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No56c6,120$3,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,663.0283147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No73c5,851$4,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,576.8764747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes32c5,692$1,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,841.574531.1%14 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-43.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Yes28c4,565$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,278.086124.6%15 W · 46 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-43.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x953f…7103backed Yes36c3,914$1,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,418.2340%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5faf…27bbbacked Yes9c3,877$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.087857.7%45 W · 33 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c3,752$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.625679.9%56 W · 511 L-1.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-39.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bda…921fbacked Yes30c3,697$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefc…c227backed Yes36c3,646$1,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.5670%0 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3413…5204backed Yes27c3,426$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.673119.4%6 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-63.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f59…bee8backed No70c3,383$2,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes4c3,283$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.3554451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa25d…5b73backed Yes35c3,132$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.28728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-22.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89ea…8c65backed Yes42c2,984$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.28475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes37c2,869$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.3560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e6a…cacfbacked Yes27c2,793$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+38.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1086…7b3cbacked Yes27c2,789$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.67229.1%2 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick20cpaid-82.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Yes31c2,643$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.44544.4%20 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes34c2,541$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.492050%10 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+9.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x963e…40cebacked No56c2,525$1,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1ae…518cbacked No64c2,506$1,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.16540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x199e…ec86backed No67c2,500$1,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.14450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes28c2,430$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.8828151.6%145 W · 136 L+20.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a61…21d6backed No64c2,396$1,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.56714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-77.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1c7…4539backed No64c2,383$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.88520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-68.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d85…228ebacked No78c2,349$1,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.523056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7237…6236backed Yes32c2,345$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.94742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8162…657cbacked Yes36c2,233$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b60…6ceabacked No65c2,232$1,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.33825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-63.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1224…0dcfbacked Yes42c2,218$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.56560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5236…65d1backed Yes27c2,200$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.33742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick24cpaid+93.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd914…4ac4backed No80c2,156$1,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.141145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.26per pick71cpaid-37.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes1c2,077$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7113065.4%85 W · 45 L+17.2wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+37.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfed7…043ebacked Yes22c2,018$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.1812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick30cpaid-83.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x23b5…4dc3backed No64c2,010$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.6837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-47.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8e9…856cbacked Yes36c2,008$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-54.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d4a…2215backed Yes41c2,002$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.6917248.3%83 W · 89 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+41%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf12…6d0dbacked Yes27c1,999$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.11425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+104.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x515f…2e58backed Yes43c1,992$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.56714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid+16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc306…74d8backed No66c1,973$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.22633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-52.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes25c1,915$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.333023.3%7 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa48…2190backed Yes35c1,909$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.1940%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes24c1,903$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.7736826.9%99 W · 269 L-17.1wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…2045backed No70c1,891$1,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b4f…ca03backed No72c1,849$1,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.724100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+73%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c4b…4053backed No68c1,842$1,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.37812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick28cpaid-81.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac32…8ebdbacked Yes30c1,832$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bd7…6b20backed No66c1,811$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.73650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09f4…b00cbacked No70c1,782$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed No58c1,782$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.448164.2%52 W · 29 L+12.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+137.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xc81b…99aabacked Yes35c1,777$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.59911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-53.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe02c…5d08backed Yes35c1,776$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.422343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes9c1,776$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.842516%4 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick11cpaid+52.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b3…3b05backed Yes35c1,749$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.7990%0 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x49de…1778backed Yes33c1,730$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.68650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d9…39c6backed No68c1,726$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.88837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ad…c0bdbacked Yes30c1,693$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d2c…5011backed Yes35c1,686$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.12837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-49.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e97…a777backed No67c1,683$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.84825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-64%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba05…cc63backed Yes35c1,682$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.761020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-73.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd362…9bc4backed No71c1,669$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.472147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e5e…7a6cbacked No66c1,667$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.58540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick22cpaid+94.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…b408backed Yes36c1,661$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.96714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-80.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfdc…a810backed Yes26c1,650$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.73520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x08a3…45a7backed Yes35c1,630$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.4520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-69.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd442…4280backed No70c1,615$1,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.59250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Yes27c1,599$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.922821.4%6 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes29c1,598$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.846134.4%21 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0532…1553backed Yes35c1,596$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.02650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c5a…97aebacked Yes30c1,572$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd9…0424backed Yes36c1,571$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.56520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-72%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03ab…30babacked Yes35c1,554$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.56616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-79%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12bc…ccb6backed No66c1,550$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.14742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e22…4d59backed Yes31c1,504$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.92520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f6f…d6babacked No64c1,481$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.16540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f61…7036backed No65c1,477$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.52475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+77.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb985…16e0backed No65c1,476$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.21030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-57.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ca5…6dfbbacked Yes28c1,458$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-55.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb580…256bbacked No70c1,446$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x483f…4b98backed No58c1,423$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.66650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa45c…1d10backed No79c1,386$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.651833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-53.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ed4…7a45backed No58c1,376$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.925100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+68.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x75f1…c9abbacked No57c1,372$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.96633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x793c…e8dabacked No70c1,365$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.72454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0125…bea6backed No64c1,363$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.68650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-28.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa598…5deebacked No66c1,344$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.96944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick34cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2db4…410fbacked Yes22c1,343$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.92646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79b8…d812backed No73c1,333$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.78333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-54.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x471d…c7b6backed No58c1,332$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.44633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0676…c0ecbacked No80c1,328$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.79742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x15f5…06a8backed Yes30c1,323$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.