NFL · resolved market
Will the 49ers win the 2026 NFC Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae3ae899f35e79ea05b5a753bafc3001ff0d0de6af7898d2f3d4f0f13d2b56c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $737,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $698,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $737,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 262 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd08…58c0backed Yes | 10c | 5,877$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.73 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a403backed Yes | 9c | 4,012$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.88 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf98…0554backed Yes | 6c | 3,847$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.53 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 7c | 3,455$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.38 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 9c | 3,341$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.25 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 9c | 3,326$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.88 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1223…d424backed Yes | 9c | 3,316$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.18 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6bdbacked Yes | 9c | 3,093$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 8c | 3,067$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.72 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567d…68bfbacked Yes | 9c | 3,030$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…6531backed Yes | 10c | 2,597$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed Yes | 9c | 2,589$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.88 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 11c | 2,500$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.5 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca62…742cbacked Yes | 9c | 2,470$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.57 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…6ac5backed Yes | 9c | 2,390$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab0…d0e6backed Yes | 9c | 2,359$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.34 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15e4…16d5backed Yes | 6c | 2,316$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.48 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5895…fb17backed Yes | 9c | 2,310$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c9…c839backed Yes | 7c | 2,278$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 15cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6d…6b4ebacked Yes | 8c | 2,250$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 8c | 2,138$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.69 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b1…4e38backed Yes | 10c | 2,114$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…c4c5backed Yes | 7c | 2,090$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ce…850cbacked Yes | 8c | 2,089$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7d…8011backed Yes | 7c | 2,049$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.48 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d9…a98ebacked Yes | 10c | 2,039$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…29a1backed Yes | 5c | 2,023$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e2…31d9backed Yes | 10c | 1,930$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.46 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec1…bfa6backed Yes | 8c | 1,856$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.92 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d1…329dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,772$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 1,764$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.19 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…c7c7backed Yes | 9c | 1,752$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefc…c227backed Yes | 9c | 1,744$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.7 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…cc63backed Yes | 9c | 1,720$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58e8…a4e4backed Yes | 10c | 1,672$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.73 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e1…7fcfbacked Yes | 10c | 1,656$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.74 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -86%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc59…da51backed Yes | 8c | 1,652$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.84 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c05…36b3backed Yes | 4c | 1,650$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.41 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3076…f3afbacked Yes | 9c | 1,631$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.42 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,618$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 37 | 0%0 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5367…a180backed Yes | 8c | 1,616$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.56 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1307…d640backed Yes | 6c | 1,613$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5a…d4f7backed Yes | 9c | 1,610$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d03…6bd9backed Yes | 10c | 1,606$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc59…f9f5backed Yes | 10c | 1,606$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.18 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -69%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 1,601$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.55 | 230 | 24.3%56 W · 174 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 6c | 1,597$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.36 | 212 | 27.8%59 W · 153 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…7103backed Yes | 9c | 1,596$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5882…4314backed Yes | 7c | 1,586$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…916fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,570$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a76…a1eebacked Yes | 10c | 1,541$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…b65abacked Yes | 5c | 1,540$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.27 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb494…7667backed Yes | 6c | 1,495$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,493$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.65 | 144 | 4.9%7 W · 137 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…ae9cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,477$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb540…1e29backed Yes | 9c | 1,392$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x065c…7891backed Yes | 4c | 1,380$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.49 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc0…a8a0backed Yes | 30c | 1,348$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e7…c7b4backed Yes | 7c | 1,333$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e2…7d46backed Yes | 7c | 1,327$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7e…6245backed Yes | 9c | 1,294$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.58 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead9…cc72backed Yes | 8c | 1,264$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.12 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb577…e39bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,253$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.45 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd8…c0d7backed Yes | 7c | 1,250$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.14 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a92…69e0backed Yes | 9c | 1,248$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -79%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4380…e8a5backed Yes | 6c | 1,241$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4728…f975backed Yes | 12c | 1,240$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…4166backed Yes | 9c | 1,237$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.99 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x009a…5f4cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,237$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b8…3112backed Yes | 11c | 1,218$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x022a…df5ebacked Yes | 16c | 1,216$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 188 | 43.1%81 W · 107 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…810dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,189$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c54…0cfdbacked Yes | 8c | 1,185$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe312…6b25backed Yes | 11c | 1,184$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.64 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c97…32ddbacked Yes | 7c | 1,176$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9c…f595backed Yes | 8c | 1,163$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.51 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4d…a2b8backed Yes | 6c | 1,160$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…4dc3backed Yes | 9c | 1,155$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605c…75a6backed Yes | 9c | 1,155$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.35 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2c…5011backed Yes | 10c | 1,134$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.53 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ea…85b6backed Yes | 10c | 1,125$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.77 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 7c | 1,108$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.47 | 67 | 4.5%3 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed Yes | 7c | 1,100$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.58 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 9c | 1,097$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.51 | 79 | 10.1%8 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fdd…dd27backed Yes | 6c | 1,081$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389c…6182backed Yes | 7c | 1,054$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -75%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a61…21d6backed Yes | 9c | 1,040$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.56 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59e6…36dbbacked Yes | 10c | 1,026$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 6c | 1,020$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.19 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c6…96b4backed Yes | 7c | 1,019$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.63 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x065f…2e80backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x342d…bbd0backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55fd…2c99backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…3bd9backed Yes | 9c | 988$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3f…0f7bbacked Yes | 9c | 987$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -63%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2532…c636backed Yes | 9c | 965$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.89 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012c…b591backed Yes | 7c | 963$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc98…db53backed Yes | 9c | 961$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.41 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…2295backed Yes | 9c | 931$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.38 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the 49ers win the 2026 NFC Championship?this page
- Will the Bears win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Buccaneers win the 2026 NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Cardinals win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Commanders win the 2026 NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Cowboys win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Eagles win the 2026 NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Falcons win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Giants win the 2026 NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Lions win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Packers win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Panthers win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Saints win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?Yes won
- Will the Vikings win the NFC Championship?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.