TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x55fd…2c99

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
149
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Movies, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 58 out of 100; worst La Liga at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4119.5%8 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick15cpaid-15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Jude Bellingham win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$417Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+485.5%+$2,022.52
Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,387Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,387
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+300%+$600
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,178.33
Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$316.67
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$87.86
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,243
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.27
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,075Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,074.71
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.93
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$85.38
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Senegal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 0 Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-50.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DAL vs. ARI: O/U 37.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Raiders vs. Texansbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Will TreVeyon Henderson win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will TreVeyon Henderson be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Will Tyler Shough be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Jaxson Dart be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$146
Will Tetairoa McMillan be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$196.89
Will the 49ers win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$121.6
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the AFC South?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+284.6%+$569.23
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Vikings (-2.5)backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+88.7%+$143.66
Will the Falcons win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$353
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the NFC South?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$85
Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Will the Tennessee Titans win the AFC South?​backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Spread: Lions (-6.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.67
Panthers vs. Jaguars: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Dolphins vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+100%+$152.08
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
All 23 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1816.7%3 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-62%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 3M Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+60.7%+$91.05
Will Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen win the 2026 3M Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Tom Kim win the 2026 3M Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Russell Henley win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2025 Tour Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+213.8%+$149.69
Will Russell Henley win the 2025 Tour Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2025 BMW Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2025 BMW Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Cameron Young win the 2025 BMW Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Sebastian Munoz win the 2025 LIV Golf Indianapolis tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+108.8%+$87.03
All 18 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT120%0 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Burgos CF vs. Córdoba CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Athletic Club vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Sevilla FC vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$187
Will Burgos CF vs. Albacete Balompié end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$97
Will Alaves vs. Real Sociedad end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Osasuna vs. Rayo Vallecano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$160
Will Getafe vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will Girona vs. Sevilla end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$175
Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ipswich Town FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bolton Wanderers FC vs. Preston North End FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will Port Vale FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Everton vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$135
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$126.67
Will Brighton win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+284.7%+$284.68
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Brentford end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Will Liverpool vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 11 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-26.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick23cpaid+219.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+998.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+1,900.8%+$950.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-4.5)backed UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.13
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-6.5)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$95.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 15, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.