Premier League · resolved market
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a3c4c2c93c6e1ebdaa5f1ec57c2a8fd299b61861443e34eaf882267c48187f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $245,194
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $242,831
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,194 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0764…e01fbacked Yes | 10c | 150,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Yes | 10c | 13,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Yes | 1c | 9,869$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.69 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Yes | 8c | 9,127$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.18 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Yes | 8c | 5,092$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.59 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 11c | 3,545$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 9c | 2,663$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.65 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -15.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 10c | 2,500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 9c | 1,972$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.46 | 133 | 27.1%36 W · 97 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 1c | 1,785$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x55fd…2c99backed Yes | 3c | 1,667$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 9c | 1,528$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.1 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 9c | 1,370$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.3 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…adcfbacked Yes | 11c | 1,278$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4950…0031backed Yes | 10c | 1,250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x844a…f6d7backed Yes | 9c | 1,058$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,055$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.05 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f77…fdb8backed Yes | 7c | 948.15$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5a…4b33backed Yes | 4c | 833.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 10c | 582.07$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.21 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Yes | 9c | 433.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.01 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf451…bcf1backed Yes | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 4c | 310$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Yes | 11c | 300$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.23per pick | 25cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042a…b153backed Yes | 11c | 196.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f5…260cbacked Yes | 11c | 172.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…b33dbacked Yes | 11c | 160$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…60e7backed Yes | 10c | 156$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Yes | 11c | 113.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7594…1f03backed Yes | 12c | 88.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bournemouth win on 2025-08-15?this page
- Will Liverpool vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?No won
- Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.