TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,348,773
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,251,263

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,348,773 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 412 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0764…e01fbacked No25c460,743$114,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114,506.621643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes77c309,429$237,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,819.8814544.8%65 W · 80 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6fdb…7ea3backed Yes75c176,625$132,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,646.321952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick59cpaid+7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No24c80,487$19,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,128.4738649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes76c70,146$53,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,044.126357.1%36 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed No23c70,042$16,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,326.933834.2%13 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No23c55,299$12,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,871.7479639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No24c51,448$12,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,56220140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No24c44,444$10,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,666.5513829%40 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Yes75c40,000$30,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,9001050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed No23c36,566$8,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,410.144240.5%17 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Yes75c30,000$22,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,50010357.3%59 W · 44 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4bd…bf7bbacked Yes77c18,133$13,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,175.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Yes40c18,000$7,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,711.876860.3%41 W · 27 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No23c17,606$4,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,049.4135652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No23c15,909$3,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,688.9821154.5%115 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75a1…693fbacked Yes75c15,000$11,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7501758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked No22c12,328$2,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,673.081250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No25c12,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00010236.3%37 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No23c12,000$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,759.9530851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe411…04c5backed No24c11,499$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,759.663023.3%7 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-36.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Yes75c10,000$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5001163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa362…f906backed No24c10,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.962857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No24c8,000$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,889.9940046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No24c7,875$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,889.9115949.1%78 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd4e…2f7ebacked No15c7,157$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.49520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-66.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed No24c6,961$1,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,670.643718.9%7 W · 30 L-7.0wins-0.19per pick38cpaid-63.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb377…f621backed No24c6,035$1,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.334143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a62…ab67backed Yes75c6,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaefb…6a8fbacked No24c6,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed No23c6,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3801030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-49.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb85d…4ac4backed Yes79c5,934$4,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.882100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No25c5,292$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,316.2731944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Yes76c5,263$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,263.169636.5%35 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Yes76c5,000$3,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1804766%31 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1d9…4ce3backed No24c5,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20060%0 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No24c4,799$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.8428355.5%157 W · 126 L+17.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes76c4,607$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.973250%16 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No24c4,014$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.9990751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Yes53c3,817$2,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,783.0620744%91 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9386…fdfebacked Yes76c3,500$2,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8402774.1%20 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+27.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7502…beafbacked Yes77c3,069$2,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.941764.7%11 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick71cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Yes76c3,000$2,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7241266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8406…0176backed Yes75c3,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7502867.9%19 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+33%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77fb…849ebacked No18c3,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Yes77c2,500$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5806051.7%31 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes75c2,095$1,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.8249254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No24c2,050$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49268026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes77c2,034$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.630666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes76c2,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48032158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa25b…0151backed Yes75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No25c1,870$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.4114254.2%77 W · 65 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes75c1,712$1,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4235944.1%26 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No23c1,709$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.079849%48 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe782…e7d9backed Yes76c1,611$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.093043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed No30c1,600$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.817034.3%24 W · 46 L-0.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8d8…8d55backed Yes76c1,500$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3602564%16 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2be4…01adbacked Yes57c1,484$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.584339.5%17 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes76c1,476$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.1714156.7%80 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Yes76c1,408$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.999235.9%33 W · 59 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0385…8b6fbacked Yes75c1,333$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.33714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick38cpaid-81%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked No24c1,320$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.84035%14 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfef2…1470backed Yes76c1,316$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.79520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-73.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes77c1,300$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29920447.1%96 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Yes77c1,299$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.73868.4%26 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x982a…48aebacked Yes32c1,291$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.81250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+57.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No17c1,278$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.8367042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes75c1,272$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.0518740.6%76 W · 111 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No25c1,255$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.2329751.9%154 W · 143 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7879…4345backed No24c1,227$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.437560%45 W · 30 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed No16c1,187$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.777248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61bf…647ebacked No23c1,090$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.624153.7%22 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b32…32c1backed Yes79c1,073$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.18933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-55.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No24c1,027$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.4814754.4%80 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14c3…df68backed No10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4950…0031backed No24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-59.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0523…e38bbacked Yes75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Yes76c910.53$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.537732.5%25 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47fc…b576backed No24c900$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed No25c830.67$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.672540%10 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed No25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006225.8%16 W · 46 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3751…7dfdbacked Yes30c729.84$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.89450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+25.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed No15c653.36$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.475054%27 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed No24c650$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1573221.9%7 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09e2…5c27backed Yes77c649.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.356100%6 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b74…c8d8backed Yes77c649.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb49…43febacked Yes77c649$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.277963.3%50 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No23c606.13$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.4127454%148 W · 126 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf070…fe6bbacked Yes76c600$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1441637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-34.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No13c566.33$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9625329.2%74 W · 179 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No23c543$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.8924566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xae12…cbd0backed No66c518.58$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.620%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce6d…6130backed Yes76c516$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.84771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+39.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb153…d8b5backed No24c504.17$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1211637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked No24c500.97$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.2322050%110 W · 110 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7458…fecfbacked Yes76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-45.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11514854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed No24c477.1$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.59917.2%17 W · 82 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-22.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x736f…d0c5backed Yes76c460.53$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.532462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c5a…4b33backed Yes76c460.53$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.53837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.