Premier League · resolved market
Will Liverpool vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37fcf828abb63fd986423db5829bd2d79b4c1b6c2380839d5ae0b067c8542553
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,294
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,294 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x36da…e646backed Yes | 15c | 13,500$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Yes | 8c | 8,172$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.99 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 67c | 6,950$4,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,282.58 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Yes | 14c | 4,616$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.28 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 59c | 3,809$2,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,259.74 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x982a…48aebacked Yes | 6c | 3,483$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Yes | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yes | 14c | 2,050$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.99 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 48c | 1,351$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.13 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Yes | 64c | 1,080$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.6 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 73cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f77…fdb8backed Yes | 10c | 1,028$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2f…578fbacked Yes | 59c | 1,008$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…d0c5backed Yes | 61c | 981.02$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 172 | 34.9%60 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 58c | 615.08$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.25 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 14c | 506.66$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.93 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55fd…2c99backed Yes | 5c | 407$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe88e…a7d4backed Yes | 62c | 369.25$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 345.8$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.01 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 10c | 310.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 15c | 274.17$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes | 15c | 260$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 17c | 256$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…a286backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…09eabacked Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.28per pick | 39cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 15c | 160.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…1db0backed Yes | 21c | 159.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes | 20c | 149.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…60e7backed Yes | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5b…69ebbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Yes | 15c | 86.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5c82backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 36c | 53.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 77c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…fb87backed Yes | 63c | 45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5acc…f6a6backed Yes | 65c | 41.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…2686backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 63c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…9adabacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liverpool vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?this page
- Will Bournemouth win on 2025-08-15?No won
- Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.