TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc774…b6e8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
229
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST5922%13 W · 46 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen leave Red Bull before 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Charles Leclerc finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+75.4%+$43
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+221.3%+$654.29
Will Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+244.8%+$71
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$16.34
Will Red Bull finish fourth in the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$13.16
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Will Red Bull have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$22.5
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+92.3%+$24
Will Oscar Piastri achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Ferrari have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$89.64
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.02
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.5
Will Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will McLaren have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Red Bull have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+1,462.5%+$212.7
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$339.83
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+125.3%+$177.86
Will Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT5424.1%13 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.03
Will Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$380
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$395
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+78.6%+$171.6
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$194
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$125
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Will FC Barcelona vs. FC København end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+426.3%+$162
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Will Liverpool FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+300%+$74.99
Will Villarreal CF vs. FC København end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$21.73
Will PSV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Liverpool FC vs. PSV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$39
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$19.43
Chelsea FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$14
AFC Ajax vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$54
AFC Ajax vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$74.5
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT3129%9 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,166Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,166
Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.34
Will Aston Villa finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11
Will Liverpool finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.04
Will Chelsea finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.83
Will Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+354.5%+$171.6
Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+117.4%+$27
Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Manchester United vs. Everton: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$61.75
Will Tottenham vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Tottenham vs. Chelsea: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
Spread: Chelsea (-0.5)backed Tottenham · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+300%+$75
Spread: Manchester United (-0.5)backed Manchester United · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Nottingham Forest vs. Manchester United: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$59
Liverpool vs. Manchester United: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$198
Will Arsenal vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$73
Will Manchester United vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Will Fulham vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$370
Will Manchester City vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$176.36
Will West Ham vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.65
Will Manchester United vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$168.39
Will Chelsea vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$385.48
Will Liverpool vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST2222.7%5 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no coalition by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$72.2
Will PVV be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will GL/PvdA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$31.82
Will FvD be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will JA21 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$26.38
Will VVD be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+88.7%+$94
Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will turnout be between 78% and 81% in the Netherlands Parliamentary Election 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+386%+$262.1
Will PVV win 33 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+98.4%+$124
Netherlands Parliamentary Election: DENK vs BBBbacked DENK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$63
Democrats 66 (D66) win 10% or more of votes in Netherlands election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+900%+$270
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$107.5
Will the Democrats 66 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$62.5
Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+431.2%+$136.98
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$158
Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.4
Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.37
Will another person be the next Pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.11
All 22 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NAC Breda vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.44
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.25
Will PSV win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+400%+$64.96
Will PSV win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$383.45
Will PSV win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+185.7%+$65
Will Casa Pia AC vs. FC Porto end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$24
PSV vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$41
FC Utrecht vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+117.4%+$27
Will AFC Ajax vs. SC Heerenveen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+426.3%+$81
AFC Ajax vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
FC Twente '65 vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$130.14
Will AFC Ajax vs. AZ end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Will AFC Ajax vs. NAC Breda end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-74.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.78
Will FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Real Madrid vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$25.2
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$63
Will Real Betis vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.5
Will Real Madrid vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will Real Oviedo vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will Espanyol vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Espanyol beat Barcelona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Barcelona beat Espanyol?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$25.9
Will Barcelona vs. Real Madrid end in draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$105
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-53.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Will Donald Trump say "Thousand," "Million," or "Billion" 10+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Donald Trump say "NATO" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+150%+$24
Will Donald Trump say "Biden's war" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+212.5%+$34
Will Donald Trump say "beautiful" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Donald Trump say "Mar-a-Lago" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Donald Trump say "eighth war" or "eight wars" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 15+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$82.16
Will Trump say "Suit" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$49
Will Trump say "Crimea" or "Donetsk" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$84
Will Trump say "Rare Earth" or "Mineral" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Will Trump say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 12+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$53
All 12 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST90%0 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$44
Will Go Ahead Eagles vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.5
Will Feyenoord vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Feyenoord win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
UEFA Europa Conference League Final: Real Betis vs. Chelseabacked Real Betis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$79
Will Tottenham vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$252
Will Manchester United vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.61
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$136
Will Athletic Club vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$237
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick12cpaid+28.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 4.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+138.1%+$29
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Unemployment" or "Employment" 20+ times during September press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan vs. Napoli end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dogecoin above $0.27 on February 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$51.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
30% EU tariff in effect by August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 November 10-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.