Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10f5cc9bcfc5ceb41ccd057357b294faea52d67dd8974425f86cedf4cfbabfb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,250
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc132…2f63backed No | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73ed…451ebacked Yes | 23c | 4,999$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,849.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b6…940abacked Yes | 22c | 2,730$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…7d58backed No | 77c | 2,597$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa409…b250backed No | 77c | 2,402$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2846…e185backed Yes | 22c | 2,270$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Yes | 23c | 1,526$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.37 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 51c | 1,510$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.14 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 77c | 1,500$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.99 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 28c | 1,237$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.99 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 1,170$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.63 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 60c | 942.37$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.62 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdb…7ea3backed No | 78c | 869$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.82 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 50c | 763.52$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.26 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 23c | 756.91$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.88 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc525…7a36backed Yes | 38c | 657.89$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 28c | 531.25$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.5 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Yes | 47c | 515$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.75 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed Yes | 21c | 487.95$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.48 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Yes | 21c | 480$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.2 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Yes | 21c | 444$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.76 | 123 | 24.4%30 W · 93 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 76c | 435.67$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.11 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Yes | 72c | 385.67$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 172 | 34.9%60 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Yes | 22c | 300.41$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.32 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 25c | 277$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.65 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 23c | 216.44$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.89 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…1230backed Yes | 35c | 199.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.99 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Yes | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccb…19cbbacked Yes | 65c | 160.31$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed No | 77c | 154.34$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.05 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…893abacked Yes | 24c | 145.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6d…58f6backed No | 78c | 129.36$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.02 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 67cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 62c | 129.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -13.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe231…4e3ebacked Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 29c | 86.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.41 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Yes | 24c | 82.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.98 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 74c | 79.04$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.49 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…0c8fbacked Yes | 24c | 66.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.67 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…31abbacked Yes | 62c | 65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 79c | 56$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.24 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…6d97backed Yes | 21c | 56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…82a3backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…7b9abacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 97 | 38.1%37 W · 60 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd4…e888backed No | 67c | 47.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf0…5c04backed No | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 80c | 38.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…af7abacked Yes | 31c | 34.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…3e39backed Yes | 71c | 33.26$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…a57ebacked No | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 74cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeacf…ed1dbacked No | 76c | 29.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a6…0dcebacked Yes | 68c | 29.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c60…ea1dbacked Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95b…1692backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?this page
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-17?No won
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-08-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.