TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa7b7…6d97

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: F1, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category F1 at 61 out of 100; worst Boxing at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 14, 2025, EDT2524%6 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-60.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 470 or more times August 8–August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$109.72
Will Elon tweet 305–319 times August 8–August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Will Elon tweet less than 215 times August 8–August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.77
Will Elon tweet 255 or more times August 1–August 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$509Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$509.14
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.5
Will Elon tweet 120–134 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.19
Will Elon tweet 105–119 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 25–August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$103
Will Elon tweet 120–134 times July 25–August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon tweet 105–119 times July 25–August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.58
Will Elon tweet 90–104 times July 25–August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.13
Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Tuesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$33.97
Will Elon tweet 500-524 times March 7-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$205.6
Will Elon tweet 525-549 times March 7-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+37.6%+$30.9
Will Elon tweet less than 450 times March 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$222.27
Will Elon tweet 550-599 times Feb 28 - March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST+144.9%+$84.1
Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 28 - March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$618Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST+38.2%+$236.26
Will Elon tweet 500-549 times Feb 28 - March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$197.07
Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 28 - March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$233.78
Will Elon tweet 800-849 times Feb 21-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+55.4%+$53.5
Will Elon tweet less than 300 times Jan 17-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$80.32
Will Elon tweet less than 400 times Jan 10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$659Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$658.94
Will Elon tweet 650-674 times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$306.3
Will Elon tweet 675-699 times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST+64.8%+$247.57
Will Elon tweet 625-649 times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$11.12
All 25 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST2259.1%13 W · 9 L+4.8wins+0.22per pick37cpaid+41.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
F1 — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+202.2%+$246.64
Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.2
Will McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+93.3%+$116.41
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$31
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.84
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix pole?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$489Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+85.6%+$418.69
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+61.8%+$190.99
Will Fernando Alonso win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.48
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.51
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$85.42
F1 Hungarian GP: Verstappen vs. Piastri backed Piastri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$21.15
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix pole?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$50
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix pole?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$15.48
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.6
F1 Belgian GP: Leclerc vs. Verstappenbacked Leclerc · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$70
F1 Belgian GP: Alonso vs. Stroll backed Stroll · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+219.1%+$82.4
F1 Belgian GP: Piastri vs. Norris backed Piastri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+300%+$37.5
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$23.85
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Belgian Sprint Race?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+196.3%+$53
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$306.38
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+29.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.82
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$196.73
Will Chelsea vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$44.24
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Brentford end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Will Brentford win on 2025-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.75
Will Brighton vs. Fulham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+300%+$100.5
Will Everton win on 2025-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+53.8%+$115.5
Will Brentford vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+32.9%+$12.38
All 9 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Aug 27, 2025, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick18cpaid-49%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fabiano Caruana win the Sinquefield Cup 2025 chess tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+182.1%+$382.6
Will Rameshbabu Praggnanandhaa win the Sinquefield Cup 2025 chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.98
Will Arjun Erigaisi win the 2025 Quantbox Chennai Grand Masters?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+76.5%+$65
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.36
Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$442Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$442.17
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$363.3
Will Levon Aronian win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.07
Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Ian Nepomniachtchi win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.72
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid+38.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP Toronto – Nakashima vs. Sheltonbacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$280.93
ATP Kitzbuhel – Bublik vs. Cazauxbacked Cazaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.73
ATP Kitzbuhel – Bublik vs. van de Zandschulpbacked Van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.6
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$172
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bitcoin all time high by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$77.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump say "Ukraine" 10+ times during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$27.78
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.