F1 · resolved market
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff72844636ebc2945a4a3e247333f40185748be65b61efa3e3adaaf1ba520796
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,383
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,383 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Yes | 1c | 19,278$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.78 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaee…3af1backed Yes | 1c | 17,338$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yes | 12c | 14,853$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.73 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 8c | 7,565$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.23 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb998…d9b2backed Yes | 1c | 6,409$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 11c | 3,469$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.36 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 2c | 3,050$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.93 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcac5…57d5backed Yes | 2c | 2,880$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 13c | 2,320$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.23 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6594…70bdbacked Yes | 10c | 1,044$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…6d97backed Yes | 1c | 999.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.22per pick | 37cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…c220backed Yes | 1c | 999.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96da…68b6backed Yes | 1c | 962.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x106f…1130backed Yes | 2c | 839.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…e93fbacked Yes | 2c | 700$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…82a3backed Yes | 10c | 693.22$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.04 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Yes | 6c | 645$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…414fbacked Yes | 2c | 641.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…6a90backed Yes | 2c | 569.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x199c…4d76backed Yes | 2c | 515$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…14ddbacked Yes | 2c | 504.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd846…b656backed Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbf…4ffabacked Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 12c | 394.4$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6064…1af8backed Yes | 14c | 380.79$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a87…2d94backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a7…cbd5backed Yes | 14c | 280$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce4e…c56fbacked Yes | 4c | 235$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24f2…f6c4backed Yes | 14c | 215.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5b…e385backed Yes | 10c | 199.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -83%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 7c | 199$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…955abacked Yes | 13c | 157.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a9…1124backed Yes | 15c | 137.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0737…cea7backed Yes | 9c | 121.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x612f…aa53backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6380…e74fbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ab…c3acbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x545a…fbb9backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea42…2c25backed Yes | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?this page
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Carlos Sainz win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Esteban Ocon win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Fernando Alonso win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Isack Hadjar win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lance Stroll win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Liam Lawson win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Nico Hulkenberg win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Pierre Gasly win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Yuki Tsunoda win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.