TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$305,475
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$265,940

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $305,475 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb747…b050backed Yes16c53,378$8,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,533.655733.3%19 W · 38 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes7c28,020$2,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,007.6921337.6%80 W · 133 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No78c21,073$16,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,624.41145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-36.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x827f…7f59backed Yes12c13,875$1,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,648.72425%6 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Yes11c12,501$1,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,378.391030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-46.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e44…e83fbacked Yes48c12,413$5,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,996.03333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed No70c10,709$7,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,222.952240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b20…75d3backed Yes42c6,050$2,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,563.481338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick29cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Yes20c6,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1802536%9 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed Yes4c5,470$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.7912246.7%57 W · 65 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes6c5,415$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.095255.8%29 W · 23 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+8.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes21c4,100$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.513219.7%26 W · 106 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes45c4,097$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,860.078939.3%35 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x61bf…647ebacked Yes20c3,472$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.281421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-59.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes19c3,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.996732.8%22 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fdb…7ea3backed No80c2,889$2,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd347…5205backed Yes15c2,602$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.43716.2%6 W · 31 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-69%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes4c2,366$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.353228.1%9 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0c3…8cd8backed Yes24c2,200$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.421330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick26cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77fb…849ebacked Yes17c2,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3302646.2%12 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick32cpaid+70.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5950…8c48backed Yes8c2,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick16cpaid-10.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes19c1,650$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.7512523.2%29 W · 96 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No65c1,535$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.67028.6%20 W · 50 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-54.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes4c1,500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552828.6%8 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick23cpaid-5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x332a…c9a2backed Yes2c1,441$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.417715.6%12 W · 65 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-45.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes14c1,428$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.92714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick10cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4da…87dbbacked Yes1c1,385$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick6cpaid+138.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e4d…92b8backed Yes21c1,247$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.18425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+95.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Yes39c1,142$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.455959.3%35 W · 24 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc840…0650backed Yes2c1,125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b3…246abacked Yes19c1,111$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.091723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-67.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd986…1320backed Yes17c1,032$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.44348.8%21 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe589…f7fabacked Yes18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.7920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Yes22c999.98$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed Yes18c874.96$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.495028%14 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-34.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x124e…cd14backed Yes20c850$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick29cpaid-81.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes26c825$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.258622.1%19 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x02b8…ff77backed Yes3c820$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick21cpaid-33%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf763…414fbacked Yes19c793.97$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.96200%0 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xcd7c…00a2backed Yes18c769.28$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.4720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbab6…50a2backed Yes41c750.78$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96da…68b6backed Yes6c728.13$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a4c…4bdbbacked Yes21c700$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0709…f2edbacked Yes18c667.5$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Yes18c599.98$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-65.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Yes20c570$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3844…7285backed Yes5c560$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286523.1%15 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008338.6%32 W · 51 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Yes36c532.7$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.775149%25 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+25.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes19c523.66$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.96866.2%45 W · 23 L+10.7wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+26.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Yes15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcac5…57d5backed Yes19c463.16$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901020%2 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-47.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes7c453.08$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.967233.3%24 W · 48 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfaa…82a3backed Yes9c450.97$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.221520%3 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-49.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed Yes31c440$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.154134.1%14 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x919b…e190backed Yes5c430.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x827b…01cebacked Yes36c414$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.047733.8%26 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes49c410.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200166.3%1 W · 15 L-4.9wins-0.31per pick37cpaid-90.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe10b…5fe3backed Yes19c400$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763423.5%8 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-48.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes28c392.57$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.824936.7%18 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x251b…143cbacked Yes57c385.74$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.852133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-34.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No43c384.62$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.239165.9%60 W · 31 L+10.1wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+13.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xca8d…b5f2backed Yes18c333.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12f0…6a90backed Yes17c332.3$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.55933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No56c312.24$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.0911266.1%74 W · 38 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6012353.7%66 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec2c…1b20backed Yes5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154431.8%14 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-30.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes19c285.23$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5412325.2%31 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes7c274.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick6cpaid+140.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1feb…92b7backed No57c263.65$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.37425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-55.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccca…4c02backed Yes19c262.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.851020%2 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa11…ecafbacked Yes21c261.02$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.81633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-36.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a87…2d94backed Yes8c256.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4243…35d1backed Yes43c254.41$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.4620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked Yes38c250$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.51346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80a4…0ba4backed Yes11c250$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.51216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Yes54c250$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x356a…4d34backed Yes21c243.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50100%0 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed Yes5c241.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9612646.8%59 W · 67 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+35.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b1e…e465backed No55c240.04$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.83571.4%25 W · 10 L+5.3wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+27.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa708…9abbbacked Yes18c238.89$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick11cpaid+54.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70d9…26ebbacked Yes48c237.99$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.541338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-29.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xafc2…d32ebacked Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22eb…ad17backed Yes52c232.31$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick22cpaid-81.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa7b7…6d97backed Yes38c224$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.422259.1%13 W · 9 L+4.8wins+0.22per pick37cpaid+41.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xabf4…6437backed Yes39c223.59$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.2666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x222a…d5afbacked Yes33c210.98$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.251040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc2e…2358backed No51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+53.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0102…e4d2backed Yes29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-37.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes20c194.45$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.871625%4 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x199c…4d76backed Yes10c190$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-32.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x552c…1b5ebacked Yes42c186.7$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8105…955abacked Yes20c183.6$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.721625%4 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac1…f987backed Yes57c171.43$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58ca…0672backed No40c170$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1022181%17 W · 4 L+5.2wins+0.25per pick56cpaid+43.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed No47c165.85$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.65763.2%36 W · 21 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xad09…3376backed Yes35c162.63$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57120%0 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x968d…e3b6backed Yes8c150$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125714%8 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ca…198bbacked No74c150$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.121369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6568…f587backed Yes34c144.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.78757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.