TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4243…35d1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
137
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: College Football, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST2924.1%7 W · 22 L-6.4wins-0.22per pick46cpaid-61.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
Tennis — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$527Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+25%+$131.87
ASB Classic: Eliot Spizzirri vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Spizzirri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$47.64
ASB Classic: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Jakub Mensikbacked Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$44.53
Hobart International: Antonia Ruzic vs Olga Danilovicbacked Danilovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$49.39
Open de Moselle: Lorenzo Sonego vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$113.7
WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauffbacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$113.64
Rolex Paris Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$105.68
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Rolex Paris Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.79
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Rinderknech vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$152.51
Rolex Paris Masters: Daniel Altmaier vs Casper Ruudbacked Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,306Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+77.5%+$1,012.13
Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Storm Hunterbacked Hunter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+32%+$319.59
Jiangxi Open: Elena Pridankina vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Pridankina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$133.35
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Ethan Quinnbacked Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$49.94
US Open: Felix Auger Aliassime vs Alex de Minaurbacked Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$133.66
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Taylor Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.77
WTA Montreal – Mboko vs. Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$120.17
ATP Washington D.C: Michelsen vs. Evansbacked Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$245.7
ATP Kitzbuhel: Misolic vs. Etcheverrybacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$199.99
ATP Kitzbuhel: Ofner vs. Struffbacked Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$82.3
Will Alexander Bublik win the 2025 Swiss Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$87.71
Swiss Open: Comesana vs. Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+69.2%+$91.19
Swiss Open: Ruud vs. Cerundolobacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$210.57
Swiss Open: Burruchaga vs. Buse backed Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$152
Nordea Open: Gaston vs. Dzumhurbacked Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.36
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST1936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+108.3%+$277.06
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+66.7%+$108.23
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$182.29
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$86.62
Thunder vs. Rocketsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+63.9%+$87.17
Suns vs. Pistonsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$86.29
Nets vs. Pelicansbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Jazz vs. Bullsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+100%+$73
Knicks vs. Sunsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100.6
Nuggets vs. Cavaliersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$515.18
Spurs vs. Pacersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+53.8%+$180.5
Heat vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$73.12
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$55.29
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.79
Spread: Nuggets (-13.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Pacers vs. Grizzliesbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Bulls vs. Magicbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$66.57
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+26.8%+$32.24
All 19 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stetson Hatters vs. Lipscomb Bisonsbacked Stetson Hatters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100.07
Florida Gators vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$150.44
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Cincinnati Bearcatsbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$150.42
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Oklahoma Soonersbacked Oklahoma Sooners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$150.48
Spread: Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks (-4.5)backed NJIT Highlanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+58.6%+$58.34
NJIT Highlanders vs. Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawksbacked NJIT Highlanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+82.5%+$11.75
UCF Knights vs. Kansas State Wildcatsbacked UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+47%+$33.84
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogsbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+57.2%+$208.13
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Ole Miss Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+356.9%+$171.89
Kentucky Wildcats vs. LSU Tigersbacked LSU Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Colorado Buffaloes vs. Cincinnati Bearcatsbacked Colorado Buffaloes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Spread: East Tennessee State Buccaneers (-6.5)backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$120.5
Boston College Eagles vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Boston College Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$21.34
All 13 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+51.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alabama vs. Indianabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$133.66
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$127.78
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+94.2%+$121.19
Arizona State vs. Dukebacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$30.25
Tennessee vs. Illinoisbacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$96.51
Texas A&M vs. LSUbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Missouri vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
BYU vs. Iowa Statebacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$35.43
UConn vs. Ricebacked Rice · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+485.6%+$116.3
Western Michigan vs. Miami (OH)backed Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$85.14
North Carolina State vs. Dukebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+84.3%+$249.55
Syracuse vs. Clemsonbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$230.52
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 4, 2025, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yankees vs. Astrosbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,081Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,080.94
White Sox vs. Twinsbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$655Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$436.75
Dodgers vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+135.4%+$377.21
Guardians vs. Red Soxbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.06
Marlins vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$32.78
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+86.1%+$130.75
Yankees vs. Bravesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$57.86
Yankees vs. Bravesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+101.9%+$153.98
Athletics vs. Guardiansbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$58.78
Rays vs. Twinsbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$248.17
Athletics vs. Raysbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.48
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-37.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-3.2wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+55.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-49.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$253.1
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+103.7%+$66.79
Buccaneers vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Texans (-4.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 4 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+142.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 318: Holland vs. Rodriguez backed Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+455.6%+$455.51
UFC 318: Ige vs. Pitbull backed Ige · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$304.85
UFC 318: Phillips vs. Oliveirabacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$117.83
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-30.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Iran on June 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$202.2
Israel strike on Iran on June 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+39.2%+$125.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: yache123 vs Veroja (BO5)backed Veroja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+79.4%+$8.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+37%+$110.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$124.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal vs. Osasuna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$364.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$126.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PAOK win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$270.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk say "Crypto/Bitcoin/Doge" during the August 6 AMA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$155.52
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.