Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will AJ Auxerre vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3ad96f6519972c17b48e3e83e45491348c957d14dbee5a54a71f73e69cbcfc7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,941
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,941 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa27c…7034backed Yes | 0c | 21,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 7,637$5,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.84 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 18c | 7,252$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.61 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 10c | 4,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 17c | 3,859$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.52 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Yes | 28c | 3,040$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.67 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 80c | 3,022$2,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.39 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 12c | 2,587$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.04 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 18c | 1,661$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.98 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed No | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 51c | 1,208$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.21 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 16c | 1,181$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 51c | 1,107$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.81 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 7c | 1,031$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.59 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 18c | 833.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 46c | 769.23$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.38 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 46c | 766$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.64 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4243…35d1backed Yes | 57c | 623.42$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 16c | 611.95$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.91 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed No | 30c | 597.71$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.49 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 17c | 589.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 16c | 517.69$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.83 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Yes | 51c | 495.7$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.14 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 16c | 430.43$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.01 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Yes | 18c | 426$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.68 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x749f…714bbacked Yes | 17c | 384.85$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…2305backed Yes | 20c | 274.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.68 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 77c | 257.46$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.74 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fd…9499backed Yes | 5c | 237.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Yes | 6c | 236.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…94b8backed Yes | 16c | 219.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5212…29c7backed No | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed Yes | 38c | 180$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x556b…454cbacked Yes | 45c | 174.93$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1307…4be7backed Yes | 17c | 173$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ac…01f5backed Yes | 32c | 166$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c78…0f7bbacked Yes | 16c | 160$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…a5cebacked Yes | 17c | 123.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37eb…6bf7backed Yes | 16c | 123.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 17c | 118.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42eb…a02dbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 43cpaid | -74%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff8…d432backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…6ba8backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…4dccbacked No | 17c | 95.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +128.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec2…00f6backed Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92b…f80bbacked Yes | 17c | 88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 51c | 76.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.81 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ed…e29fbacked No | 72c | 71.33$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d9…2f4abacked No | 68c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes | 47c | 68.64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 16c | 68.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 78c | 65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc736…1fc2backed Yes | 56c | 64.48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…439ebacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd246…5622backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Yes | 29c | 58.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked No | 47c | 57.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4161…c578backed No | 78c | 52.71$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048e…d8c9backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x283c…d7b1backed No | 73c | 41.94$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 72c | 41.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 228 | 54.4%124 W · 104 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…7782backed No | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 66cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c4…b7a9backed No | 70c | 35.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…8f40backed No | 73c | 29.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b09…a8e6backed No | 72c | 22.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8b…298cbacked No | 73c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…9661backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180a…eebbbacked Yes | 54c | 19.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked No | 72c | 16.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AJ Auxerre vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?this page
- Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-01-23?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.