Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-01-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f1b5f411484e8e7e7990e9b7e8d06cb1753d836fc40176adee36b84a7ebba2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $190,380
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $212,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,380 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 9c | 38,406$3,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360.72 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228c…0fb0backed Yes | 0c | 22,100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 9c | 9,507$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.05 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 9c | 5,122$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.91 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 8c | 4,735$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 10c | 3,677$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.33 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…a29dbacked Yes | 9c | 3,080$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 1c | 3,045$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a37…0d89backed Yes | 9c | 2,222$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 8c | 1,870$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 9c | 1,859$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.24 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 8c | 1,529$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.88 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d3…3128backed Yes | 8c | 1,508$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.65 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 8c | 1,475$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.01 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…c4b7backed Yes | 8c | 1,350$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 10c | 1,320$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -52%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 9c | 1,228$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.55 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…4ebcbacked Yes | 7c | 999.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Yes | 4c | 988.89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 9c | 972.1$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.23 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 10c | 831$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.59 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Yes | 10c | 800$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Yes | 1c | 700.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 9c | 602.08$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.26 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56a…fe7cbacked Yes | 8c | 600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 8c | 595.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 140 | 45%63 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0124…2feabacked Yes | 8c | 525.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed Yes | 8c | 516.88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 108 | 38%41 W · 67 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 7c | 473.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c92…2794backed Yes | 6c | 451.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 10c | 430$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca73…b02ebacked Yes | 10c | 420.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…fca3backed Yes | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed Yes | 9c | 330$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8a…398ebacked Yes | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 10c | 268.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 7c | 266.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2489…60f1backed Yes | 9c | 255.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 8c | 250$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Yes | 9c | 244$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 10c | 227$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc1…b159backed Yes | 9c | 222$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 9c | 205.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 8c | 190.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 8c | 189.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 9c | 183.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Yes | 8c | 179.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 9c | 149.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 130 | 16.2%21 W · 109 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc97…1425backed Yes | 9c | 134.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef1…d333backed Yes | 9c | 120.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22bd…5211backed Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98c5…dd3bbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcb…c800backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +164.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-01-23?this page
- Will AJ Auxerre vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.