TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdc97…1425

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
86
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 34.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST3324.2%8 W · 25 L-8.5wins-0.26per pick50cpaid-45.6%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
NBA — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nets vs. Clippers: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+112.8%+$16.32
Spread: Clippers (-8.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15.36
Pelicans vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$19.7
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$17.1
Kings vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$14.13
Spread: Heat (-6.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13.79
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+117.4%+$13.24
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$18.65
Heat vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15.87
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$18.56
Celtics vs. Bullsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$16.44
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+104.1%+$18.36
Raptors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.29
Nuggets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
Pelicans vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$14.06
Rockets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$12.89
Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$11.73
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+114.5%+$20.3
Bulls vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$18.17
Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+100%+$18.62
Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$13.89
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$15.66
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$12.43
Spread: Magic (-6.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$12.96
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST1643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.95
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$13.15
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.92
Australian Open Men's: Karen Khachanov vs Luciano Darderibacked Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+400%+$51.78
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$15.54
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norriebacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$18.56
Australian Open Men's: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex de Minaurbacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$16.76
Australian Open Men's: Francisco Cerundolo vs Andrey Rublevbacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+127.2%+$23.2
Australian Open Men's: Tommy Paul vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7.2
Australian Open Men's: Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$14.99
Australian Open Men's: Learner Tien vs Nuno Borgesbacked Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$17.92
Australian Open Men's: Jaume Munar vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+47.1%+$4.88
Australian Open Men's: Arthur Gea vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+163.2%+$17.21
Australian Open Men's: Denis Shapovalov vs Marin Cilicbacked Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+138.1%+$19.63
Australian Open Men's: Eliot Spizzirri vs Yibing Wubacked Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.14
Australian Open Men's: Karen Khachanov vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$13.79
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-61.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$14.37
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$19.3
Spread: Patriots (-5.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$17.54
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$6.23
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$14.13
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.