NBA · resolved market
Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1417504f8869d6f8dc8d5b5d76f550ed39a4b0aaf96c52301f14ba987bcbdf8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Trail Blazers, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,143
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Heat | 51c | 20,964$10,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,681.66 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 16,232$7,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,284.57 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Heat | 47c | 11,960$5,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,625.48 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 8,935$4,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.65 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Heat | 47c | 7,924$3,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,722.18 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 5,859$2,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,003.04 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Heat | 47c | 5,327$2,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,503.92 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 4,963$2,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,531.27 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 3,980$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,029.59 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 3,901$2,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.46 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 3,322$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694.2 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 3,140$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.28 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Heat | 43c | 2,961$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.23 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 2,525$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.49 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 2,160$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.65 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Trail Blazers | 58c | 2,061$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.09 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Heat | 51c | 2,030$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.07 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 2,022$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.94 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Heat | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…d015backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 1,940$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.43 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…bd7dbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 1,346$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.15 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 1,306$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.56 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Heat | 51c | 1,000$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.43 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Trail Blazers | 58c | 864.53$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.51 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Heat | 10c | 766.46$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.21 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 670.59$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.59 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Heat | 47c | 638.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.33 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Heat | 46c | 613.24$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.47 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Heat | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Heat | 51c | 568$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.68 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Heat | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Heat | 46c | 421$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.66 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Heat | 52c | 418.48$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.21 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 369.57$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.57 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Heat | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 295.44$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.81 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Heat | 48c | 239$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.96 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc842…c282backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 186.27$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Heat | 30c | 156.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Heat | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 123.1$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.3 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Trail Blazers | 70c | 120.47$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.34 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 116$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.16 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 101.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.88 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Heat | 47c | 97.54$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 97$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.56 | 304 | 54.9%167 W · 137 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad3…a392backed Heat | 53c | 92.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c3…f427backed Heat | 52c | 84.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Trail Blazers | 63c | 84.45$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.83 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…44b3backed Heat | 56c | 81.06$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6b…010cbacked Heat | 15c | 72.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 65.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 61.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Trail Blazers | 70c | 61.12$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 192 | 32.8%63 W · 129 L | -18.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb15d…d581backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 60.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Heat | 49c | 59.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Heat | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 45.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 44.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 311 | 51.1%159 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 44.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +36%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f96…9dd5backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Heat | 51c | 42.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 308 | 40.9%126 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d0…ee5abacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 39.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Trail Blazers | 71c | 38.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7280…fbd1backed Heat | 29c | 34.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…f845backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 31.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Trail Blazers | 64c | 30.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -12.0wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc97…1425backed Heat | 45c | 26.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -8.5wins | -0.26per pick | 50cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Trail Blazers | 57c | 25.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 22.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…9e0bbacked Heat | 54c | 22.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…963bbacked Trail Blazers | 75c | 21.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…e5d1backed Trail Blazers | 71c | 21.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Trail Blazers | 66c | 20.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed Heat | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…4dccbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 19.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)this page
- Heat vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Heat vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Heat vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Heat vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Heat vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Heat vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 239.5Under won
- Heat vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 240.5Under won
- Norman Powell: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)Trail Blazers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.