NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Trail Blazers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09904098c0bc80ae70b0e614fa15d49e29f4ca713c9424bf73a2ffc0194c7a43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Heat, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,235,626
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,343,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,235,626 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 960 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Heat | 42c | 294,823$124,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124,653.83 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f10…76b3backed Trail Blazers | 68c | 197,393$135,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,357.42 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Heat | 50c | 160,579$81,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,079.46 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Trail Blazers | 58c | 91,703$52,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,883.06 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Heat | 46c | 85,000$39,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,399.78 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Trail Blazers | 59c | 80,000$47,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,000 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Heat | 43c | 80,000$34,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,399.97 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 69,709$38,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,213.63 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Trail Blazers | 57c | 68,043$38,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,142.16 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Trail Blazers | 57c | 66,201$37,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,428.25 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Trail Blazers | 57c | 55,136$31,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,981.23 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Heat | 43c | 52,227$22,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,294.53 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Heat | 42c | 47,619$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb4…d892backed Heat | 2c | 46,425$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.51 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Heat | 28c | 43,781$12,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,313.24 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Heat | 22c | 42,648$9,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,264.48 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Trail Blazers | 58c | 41,825$24,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,615.5 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Heat | 41c | 40,297$16,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,521.64 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Trail Blazers | 57c | 40,208$22,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,464.85 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2db…aa08backed Heat | 46c | 39,323$18,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,088.55 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Trail Blazers | 58c | 34,933$20,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,756.77 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Trail Blazers | 9c | 33,333$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,333.33 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Heat | 27c | 31,099$8,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,445.92 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Trail Blazers | 10c | 30,810$3,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,638.09 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Trail Blazers | 59c | 30,000$17,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,343.67 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Heat | 13c | 29,258$3,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,788.1 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Trail Blazers | 57c | 28,012$16,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,947.76 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Heat | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Heat | 42c | 23,810$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers | 57c | 23,396$13,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,050.17 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Heat | 25c | 21,669$5,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,385.96 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,199.98 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Trail Blazers | 57c | 19,274$10,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,287.84 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 18,859$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,858.52 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Trail Blazers | 58c | 17,300$10,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,266 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9723…77d8backed Heat | 43c | 17,000$7,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,309.98 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe194…cd47backed Heat | 19c | 16,746$3,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,217.83 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 15,472$8,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,930.81 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heat | 20c | 14,950$3,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,019.95 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 14,085$7,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,131.1 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Heat | 43c | 14,000$6,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,019.98 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Trail Blazers | 64c | 13,995$8,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,106.94 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Heat | 1c | 13,859$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.45 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c7…4078backed Heat | 9c | 13,487$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Trail Blazers | 57c | 13,478$7,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,795.37 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Trail Blazers | 57c | 13,169$7,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,662.73 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Trail Blazers | 61c | 13,123$7,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,133.95 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Trail Blazers | 58c | 12,921$7,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,471.28 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Heat | 44c | 12,530$5,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,513.2 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Trail Blazers | 59c | 12,500$7,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,156.26 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Trail Blazers | 57c | 12,500$7,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,375 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Heat | 42c | 12,000$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,040 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Heat | 27c | 11,556$3,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,113.3 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Heat | 38c | 10,946$4,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,195.87 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Heat | 50c | 10,360$5,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,163.29 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Trail Blazers | 58c | 10,080$5,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,231.97 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Trail Blazers | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Trail Blazers | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Heat | 48c | 9,754$4,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,687.57 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03a9…37babacked Heat | 42c | 9,615$4,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,038.38 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Heat | 5c | 9,494$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.74 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Heat | 45c | 9,206$4,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,141.39 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Trail Blazers | 77c | 9,020$6,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065.03 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -15.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Heat | 43c | 8,860$3,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,792.68 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Trail Blazers | 58c | 8,695$5,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,680.51 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…68a0backed Heat | 41c | 8,222$3,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,371.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Heat | 43c | 8,110$3,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,487.19 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Trail Blazers | 58c | 7,835$4,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,290.69 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Trail Blazers | 58c | 7,500$4,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,185 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Heat | 13c | 7,476$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 301 | 57.1%172 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf746…f71ebacked Trail Blazers | 58c | 7,390$4,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,103.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Trail Blazers | 13c | 7,021$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,081.12 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Trail Blazers | 65c | 7,011$4,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,431.63 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7467…e978backed Heat | 39c | 7,000$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,730 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Heat | 0c | 6,495$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Trail Blazers | 60c | 6,090$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450.73 | 852 | 48.9%417 W · 435 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Heat | 35c | 6,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Heat | 28c | 5,726$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.53 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Heat | 40c | 5,648$2,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,259.2 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Trail Blazers | 58c | 5,575$3,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360.84 | 309 | 47.6%147 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 5,538$3,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,485.52 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Trail Blazers | 58c | 5,509$3,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,306.48 | 369 | 50.1%185 W · 184 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Heat | 33c | 5,496$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794.1 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Heat | 10c | 5,488$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.76 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a36…4121backed Trail Blazers | 58c | 5,265$3,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,196.65 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea7…813ebacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 5,232$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,332.2 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Heat | 31c | 5,148$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.43 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…1667backed Heat | 39c | 5,128$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.03 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Heat | 42c | 5,100$2,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,142 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Trail Blazers | 57c | 5,050$2,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.22 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Heat | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.98 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…c108backed Heat | 42c | 4,962$2,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,106.29 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Heat | 32c | 4,899$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.04 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2b…7f04backed Heat | 41c | 4,800$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Heat | 48c | 4,704$2,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,257.92 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe06f…0b0abacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 4,700$2,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,209 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42bf…b70ebacked Heat | 47c | 4,700$2,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,209 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…63b7backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 4,690$2,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…bea9backed Heat | 47c | 4,690$2,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Trail Blazers | 57c | 4,605$2,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980.26 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Trail Blazersthis page
- Heat vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Heat vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Heat vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Heat vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Heat vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 239.5Under won
- Heat vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 240.5Under won
- Norman Powell: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)Trail Blazers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.