TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x817b…3c25

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,416
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Premier League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 57 out of 100; worst Weather at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1,048 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.27
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.28
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.03
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.3
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.86
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.93
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$475.99
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.24
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,053Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+97.9%+$4,946.85
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$344.18
Bulls vs. Bucksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$220.72
76ers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$2,319.66
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,810Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,810.3
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$750.02
Pelicans vs. Hornetsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$2,450
Magic vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,710Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+75.4%+$1,290
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,924Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,924.19
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$4,714Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$4,713.54
Lakers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,221Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+65.8%+$2,778.82
Jazz vs. Raptorsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$3,651Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$3,651.47
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$442Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$442
Showing 25 of 1,048 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST8211%9 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+669.2%+$240.48
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10.4
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.23
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+381.7%+$1,232.8
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$280.97
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.33
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$76
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.41
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$350.8
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$146.8
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$130
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$130
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$130
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+373.3%+$1,050.81
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Elon tweet between 950 and 999 times September 1–30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.02
Will Elon tweet between 900 and 949 times September 1–30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+3,125.8%+$488.14
Will Elon tweet between 1150 and 1199 times September 1–30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.8
Will Elon tweet between 1100 and 1149 times September 1–30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.29
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST6040%24 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$85
Will Elon and DOGE cut less than 50k employees in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$33.25
Will Elon and DOGE cut 50-100k employees in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$91
Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$68.52
Will Trump’s approval rating be 42.0–43.9% on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$572Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+277.1%+$1,584.96
Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.0–45.9% on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$309.35
Trump approval Up or Down this week?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$119.99
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$182.47
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 43.0% and 43.4% on October 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.48
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 43.5% and 43.9% on October 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+220.6%+$183.01
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 43.0% and 43.4% on October 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$25.16
Trump approval Up or Down this week?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+252%+$65.86
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 44.5% and 44.9% on September 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.5
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 44.0% and 44.4% on September 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$492.98
Trump approval Up or Down this week?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$627Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+108.9%+$682.58
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$80
Trump approval Up or Down this week?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$759.99
Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.0–44.4% on September 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,181Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,181.03
Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.5–44.9% on September 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$779Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+289.5%+$2,254.77
Trump approval Up or Down this week?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$49.34
Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.5–44.9% on September 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$123.38
Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.0–44.4% on September 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.22
Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.5–44.9% on August 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+41.2%+$112.59
Will Trump’s approval rating be 43.5–43.9% on August 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$99
Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.0–44.4% on August 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+165.5%+$455.63
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST3537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Big Bash League: Sydney Sixers vs Hobart Hurricanes (Game Semi Finals)backed Hobart Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,346Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$2,346.1
Big Bash League: Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Stars (Game Eliminator)backed Melbourne Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$728Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$727.85
Big Bash League: Perth Scorchers vs Sydney Sixers (Game Qualifier 1)backed Perth Scorchers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$200
Big Bash League: Hobart Hurricanes vs Brisbane Heat (Game 1)backed Hobart Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$679.68
Big Bash League: Melbourne Stars vs Adelaide Strikers (Game 1)backed Adelaide Strikers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$3,155.88
Big Bash League: Sydney Thunder vs Melbourne Renegades (Game 1)backed Melbourne Renegades · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$3,509.99
Big Bash League: Adelaide Strikers vs Perth Scorchers (Game 1)backed Adelaide Strikers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$2,174.07
Big Bash League: Brisbane Heat vs Sydney Thunder (Game 1)backed Sydney Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,234.36
Big Bash League: Hobart Hurricanes vs Adelaide Strikers (Game 1)backed Hobart Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+66.7%+$800
Big Bash League: Melbourne Stars vs Sydney Sixers (Game 1)backed Melbourne Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$4,743Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$4,742.87
Will the match end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$630
Will England win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$698Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$698.45
Big Bash League: Perth Scorchers vs Melbourne Renegades (Game 1)backed Melbourne Renegades · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,781Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+124.6%+$2,218.82
Big Bash League: Adelaide Strikers vs Sydney Thunder (Game 1)backed Adelaide Strikers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,013Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+134.1%+$1,357.68
Big Bash League: Sydney Sixers vs Brisbane Heat (Game 1)backed Sydney Sixers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+78.6%+$220
Big Bash League: Perth Scorchers vs Adelaide Strikers (Game 1)backed Adelaide Strikers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$330
Big Bash League: Melbourne Stars vs Melbourne Renegades (Game 1)backed Melbourne Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,597Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,597.04
Big Bash League: Sydney Thunder vs Hobart Hurricanes (Game 1)backed Hobart Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,225Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+82%+$2,643.7
Big Bash League: Brisbane Heat vs Melbourne Stars (Game 1)backed Brisbane Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$679Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+226%+$1,534.78
Big Bash League: Hobart Hurricanes vs Perth Scorchers (Game 1)backed Hobart Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,338Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,337.63
Big Bash League: Melbourne Renegades vs Sydney Sixers (Game 1)backed Melbourne Renegades · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,070Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,069.87
Big Bash League: Adelaide Strikers vs Brisbane Heat (Game 1)backed Brisbane Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$360
Big Bash League: Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Renegades (Game 1)backed Melbourne Renegades · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$613Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$613.02
Big Bash League: Brisbane Heat vs Adelaide Strikers (Game 1)backed Brisbane Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,877Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+107.4%+$2,016.22
Big Bash League: Perth Scorchers vs Hobart Hurricanes (Game 1)backed Hobart Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$601Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+108%+$649
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST3119.4%6 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick31cpaid-6.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$152.73
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+47.4%+$51.9
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$118.15
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.45
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.36
Giants vs. Piratesbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$159
Orioles vs. Raysbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Rangers vs. Astrosbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Dodgers vs. Giantsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$286.58
Diamondbacks vs. Angelsbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$268
Phillies vs. Padresbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$184.39
Rangers vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$275
Pirates vs. Twinsbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$132
Nationals vs. Brewersbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.42
Rays vs. Red Soxbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$243
Marlins vs. Oriolesbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$152
Diamondbacks vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+217.5%+$410.99
Rangers vs. Angelsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+43.8%+$174.75
Mariners vs. Yankeesbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$177.24
Rays vs. Red Soxbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$379.39
Rangers vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT+400%+$240
Guardians vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.93
Cubs vs. Twinsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Mariners vs. Yankeesbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.93
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2025, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+363.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FIFA Club World Cup: Dortmund vs. Monterrey (To Advance) backed Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$90.32
FIFA Club World Cup: Inter Milan vs. Fluminense (To Advance)backed Inter Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$347.98
PSG vs. Inter Miami: 4+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$79.96
Will Al Hilal vs. Pachuca end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Will Manchester City win Group G at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+86.9%+$139.5
Will Inter Milan beat River Plate?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+102.5%+$162
Will Borussia Dortmund win Group F at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$135
Will Fluminense win Group F at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$109.56
Will Fluminense beat Mamelodi?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Auckland City vs. Boca Juniors end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+7,592.3%+$1,047.28
Will Bayern Munich beat Benfica?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$147
Benfica vs. Bayern Munich: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$186
Will FC Porto beat Al Ahly?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$167
Will Atlético Madrid beat Botafogo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$135.3
PSG vs. Seattle Sounders: 4+ Goals Scored? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$102
Atlético Madrid vs. Botafogo: 3+ Goals Scored? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$76.5
Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$320
Will Atalanta win on 2025-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+194.1%+$131.99
Will Benfica win on 2025-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$103.98
Will Feyenoord win on 2025-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$55
All 20 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST1428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Levon Aronian win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+257.1%+$720
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam South Africa?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+270.4%+$365
Will Levon Aronian win the 2025 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+488.2%+$166
Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$115
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$371
Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025 SuperUnited Rapid & Blitz Croatia tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$103.25
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 SuperUnited Rapid & Blitz Croatia tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$236
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 SuperUnited Rapid & Blitz Croatia tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$16.3
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$52.05
Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$10.4
Will Olexandr Bortnyk win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$10
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$15
Will Magnus Carlsen win the World Rapid Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$40
All 14 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST147.1%1 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick23cpaid-87%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$19.44
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$88.82
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$220
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$1,109.56
Will the Houston Texans win the AFC South?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$144
Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$125
Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$77.24
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$25.5
Commanders vs. Lionsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+81.8%+$22.5
Vikings vs. Ramsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$16.8
Packers vs. Eaglesbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will the Broncos win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Broncos vs. Billsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$41.5
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
All 14 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2025, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.27per pick42cpaid-53.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Weather — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00-1.04ºC in June 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.24
Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on March 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$155.12
Will the highest temperature in London be between 62-63°F on March 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.85
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 48-49°F on February 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST+320.4%+$112.53
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 46-47°F on February 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$39.44
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 43-44°F on February 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$111.14
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 40-41°F on February 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$35.7
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 38-39°F on February 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$252.1
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 36-37°F on February 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$45.54
Will the highest temperature in London be between 40-41°F on February 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2025, EST-100%-$420.07
Will the highest temperature in London be between 42-43°F on February 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2025, EST-100%-$40.59
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 39-40°F on February 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in London be between 41-42°F on February 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST+80%+$37.72
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick34cpaid+84.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mohamed Salah break the assists record this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$225
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+283.7%+$237.64
Will Newcastle win on 2025-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST+88.7%+$227.2
Will Manchester United win on 2025-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$356
Will Everton win on 2025-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$99
Will Everton win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST+400%+$400
Will Chelsea win on 2025-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$165.99
Will Arsenal win on 2025-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST+117.4%+$50.22
Will Southampton win on 2025-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+316.7%+$76
Will Manchester United win on 2025-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+227.9%+$139
Will West Ham win on 2025-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Sabresbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$880Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$880
Oilers vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$911Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$910.79
Penguins vs. Senatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$420
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$551Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+135.9%+$749
Utah vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$1,040
Kraken vs. Oilersbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Bruins vs. Devilsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$17.5
Flyers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST+104.1%+$15.3
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Ducks vs. Hurricanesbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+376.2%+$59.25
Blue Jackets vs. Bluesbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+185.7%+$32.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$568Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$567.97
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+25%+$150
Will Red Bull Racing finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$122.91
Will Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$681Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+149.6%+$1,018.91
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$89.8
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$135
F1 Hungarian GP: Hamilton vs. Russell backed Russell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+91.1%+$238.38
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.19
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$630
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$128
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+122.2%+$178.75
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.37
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,465Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+36.5%+$535
Israel strikes Iran before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$71.47
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$935Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+91.7%+$857.8
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$925Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+80.5%+$744.8
Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$110.2
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+41%+$87.29
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$96.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-66.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$467Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.2%+$145.69
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$148
Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$289.03
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$234.9
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$320.57
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$112
Grok 4 released by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$105
Will Amazon purchase Bitcoin before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick30cpaid-62.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+58.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-28%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+65.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+61%+$55.73
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$73.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,497Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$1,496.92
Will Australia win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+100%+$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$218.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.