Chess · resolved market

Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61c3730cd90257102cb1faeaf48337561e88c7a61bb3f90723ad69ffeb14c63f

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 31, 2024, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Chessevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $208,188
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $125,559

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,188 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Chess is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Chess
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1ea6…9545backed Yes	13c	15,000$1,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,950	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0078…c9cdbacked Yes	26c	8,158$2,115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,115.42	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-59.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ae…e58abacked Yes	15c	6,696$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f83…6cd9backed Yes	15c	5,929$879 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$879.29	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a25…2fa6backed Yes	11c	5,863$653 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$653.48	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	16cpaid	-86.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc30a…1a0dbacked Yes	18c	5,489$999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$998.94	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe932…0f05backed Yes	9c	5,000$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked No	74c	4,877$3,609 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,268.04	92	47.8%44 W · 48 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8f6…c52abacked Yes	14c	4,677$674 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$674.08	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8258…f208backed Yes	20c	3,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5380…28debacked Yes	14c	2,831$407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$406.72	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	33cpaid	-69.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf89e…1783backed Yes	15c	1,789$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.96	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3355…e375backed Yes	15c	1,601$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.43	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df8…5907backed Yes	13c	1,600$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	-20%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa845…2307backed Yes	24c	1,560$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3418…a3f2backed No	80c	1,375$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$275	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb39…c696backed No	80c	1,305$1,044 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$261.06	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	-50%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9dc…9026backed Yes	9c	1,300$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-77.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ad1…5d7cbacked Yes	9c	1,194$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.89	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x827b…01cebacked Yes	5c	1,010$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.3	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53e5…3a31backed Yes	10c	1,010$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.5	20	20%4 W · 16 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a28…21bbbacked Yes	14c	1,004$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6704…baa4backed Yes	9c	1,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-57.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5380…9592backed Yes	9c	888.89$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1166…94acbacked Yes	14c	871.79$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.89	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa1…1928backed Yes	9c	868.52$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.16	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd69…a2e1backed No	78c	837.85$654 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.33	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x49fd…0198backed Yes	17c	794.37$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.87	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	17cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf786…73ccbacked Yes	12c	750$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.2	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-69.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0d6…3e79backed Yes	15c	620$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.2	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-83.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdd7…b90fbacked Yes	24c	600$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56d4…b609backed Yes	17c	593.73$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.93	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5396…ded6backed Yes	18c	591.01$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.62	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	10cpaid	+5,582.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x906b…fd3cbacked Yes	9c	575.45$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.08	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-1.8wins	-0.13per pick	20cpaid	-90.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x89b5…ab4cbacked Yes	17c	550$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.99	52	23.1%12 W · 40 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Yes	15c	530.92$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.83	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	+3.3wins	+0.07per pick	32cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x286e…adb7backed Yes	12c	500$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7997…fc95backed Yes	12c	500$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae3…1540backed Yes	17c	500$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-58.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes	13c	498.99$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.99	40	32.5%13 W · 27 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7961…2a74backed Yes	9c	495.56$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.6	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x983f…fd5ebacked Yes	12c	490$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.7	68	20.6%14 W · 54 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-60.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e21…1751backed Yes	13c	476$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.88	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70f0…70aabacked Yes	22c	454.55$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e30…1e50backed No	79c	431.55$341 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.62	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.12per pick	39cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x882f…1122backed Yes	11c	414.33$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.98	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32b7…bbe8backed Yes	15c	400$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-65.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	11c	399.15$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.17	110	11.8%13 W · 97 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a90…ab9dbacked Yes	23c	391.7$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.09	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24d1…de85backed Yes	22c	382.55$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-58.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xded5…d9cabacked Yes	9c	379.85$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.88	40	10%4 W · 36 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57b9…7726backed Yes	12c	363.45$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.21	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbba4…f8c6backed Yes	6c	349.99$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.5	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x985a…e9e4backed Yes	12c	333.33$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.8	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.25per pick	15cpaid	+190.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9624…1373backed Yes	16c	312.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadd8…8793backed Yes	15c	309.97$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.12	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dc3…7865backed Yes	8c	300$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	14cpaid	-50.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeba1…8598backed Yes	18c	280.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d0…4e7dbacked Yes	8c	260$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.8	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	11cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dbc…bb1abacked Yes	10c	256.02$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.42	23	13%3 W · 20 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d0e…49e3backed Yes	17c	251.52$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.52	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x76cb…ab4fbacked Yes	12c	250$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd88e…e6c1backed Yes	21c	240$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.4	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-74.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Yes	14c	236.87$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.78	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes	15c	233.33$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51d7…c725backed Yes	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ecc…b46dbacked Yes	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd48…db01backed Yes	8c	220$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.6	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-82.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Yes	15c	208.59$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.29	41	56.1%23 W · 18 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8c…e69dbacked Yes	12c	200$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd78…e773backed Yes	12c	200$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	31	16.1%5 W · 26 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-66.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63c6…43a5backed Yes	7c	200$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ee…cf2cbacked Yes	7c	200$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1242…bdadbacked Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-2.1wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a61…eb03backed Yes	10c	184.98$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.69	42	23.8%10 W · 32 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	19cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes	15c	180$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-75.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdca1…4c64backed Yes	12c	170$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.4	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb51b…06b7backed Yes	18c	164.88$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4f7…2d11backed Yes	22c	153.52$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.1	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes	9c	150$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-2.0wins	-0.13per pick	20cpaid	-91.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xecc4…9fc3backed Yes	10c	149.89$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.99	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54f0…7a91backed Yes	15c	137.2$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+1.4wins	+0.14per pick	6cpaid	+288.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb59f…cd73backed Yes	11c	136.36$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	+1.7wins	+0.08per pick	29cpaid	+66.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8bf…d806backed Yes	13c	131.64$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.01	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfbb…dc2bbacked Yes	16c	130$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-2.4wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3379…c283backed Yes	12c	125$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dea…08a5backed Yes	9c	124.44$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	18cpaid	-72.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7b2…1a38backed Yes	16c	123.52$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa71…11c7backed Yes	18c	113.89$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68ee…9d12backed Yes	10c	110$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Yes	9c	110$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f2d…d8abbacked Yes	22c	108.59$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.89	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-48%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed No	80c	100$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	35	40%14 W · 21 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+156.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ef6…56ecbacked Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e2e…6856backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-2.1wins	-0.26per pick	39cpaid	-84.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5961…5788backed Yes	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.07	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-71.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x209c…ae3abacked Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6753…7340backed No	80c	100$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	36cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fcc…f59cbacked Yes	18c	98.21$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Chess and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?this page
Will Alexander Grischuk win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?No won
Will Arjun Erigaisi win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?No won
Will Ben Finegold win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?No won
Will Daniel Naroditsky win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?No won
Will Daniil Dubov win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?No won
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?No won
Will Hans Niemann win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?No won
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?No won
Will Ian Nepomniachtchi win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?No won
Will Jan-Krzysztof Duda win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?No won
Will Levon Aronian win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?No won
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?No won
Will Maxime Vachier-Lagrave win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?No won
Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?No won
Will Olexandr Bortnyk win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?No won
Will Rameshbabu Praggnanandhaa win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?No won
Will Volodar Murzin win the 2024 World Blitz Championship? No won
Will Wei Yi win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?No won
Will Wesley So win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?No won
Will another person win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event