Chess · resolved market

Will Ian Nepomniachtchi win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce1d713317ab0cf909a3fa17fdecfde1366dbaee59047ecd0d656831cccfc727

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 31, 2024, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Chessevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $648,390
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $539,197

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $648,390 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Chess is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Chess
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfd2b…8e50backed Yes	0c	71,510$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.25	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Yes	0c	29,990$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.99	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd398…46d7backed Yes	0c	29,437$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.37	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x752e…81c4backed Yes	25c	26,116$6,579 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,578.78	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-71.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Yes	31c	24,333$7,499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,498.78	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5721…05e2backed Yes	0c	22,443$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.87	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf89e…1783backed Yes	0c	20,147$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.9	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ea6…9545backed Yes	10c	16,800$1,626 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,626.35	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x893d…6b68backed Yes	0c	15,032$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.44	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c1b…9855backed Yes	0c	13,302$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.1	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41a1…75bcbacked Yes	48c	10,850$5,208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,207.88	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.2wins	+0.11per pick	44cpaid	+63.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb04…8b8abacked Yes	0c	10,252$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	30	10%3 W · 27 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+264.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Yes	0c	10,100$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.7	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3355…e375backed Yes	37c	9,906$3,677 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,676.88	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7414…8e95backed Yes	1c	9,458$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.42	31	16.1%5 W · 26 L	+2.4wins	+0.08per pick	8cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes	0c	7,202$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.61	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x008a…21a8backed Yes	40c	6,993$2,799 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,798.77	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a3b…3035backed Yes	34c	5,470$1,853 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,853	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes	2c	5,405$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.37	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a01…6397backed Yes	40c	4,772$1,913 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,913	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ae…e58abacked Yes	11c	4,401$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9816…cc22backed Yes	9c	4,300$376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375.51	20	10%2 W · 18 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-63.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Yes	6c	4,000$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Yes	6c	2,873$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.17	41	56.1%23 W · 18 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b67…584fbacked Yes	3c	2,774$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc30a…1a0dbacked Yes	7c	2,268$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.02	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64c6…a070backed Yes	3c	2,153$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.46	24	12.5%3 W · 21 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-78%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6704…baa4backed Yes	40c	2,133$860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$860	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-57.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa256…fc1ebacked Yes	28c	2,092$589 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$588.6	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ca7…31a2backed Yes	47c	1,939$911 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$910.84	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	+5,506%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fc7…a4bbbacked Yes	20c	1,916$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.29	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df8…5907backed Yes	16c	1,820$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.12	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	-20%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6478…548fbacked Yes	33c	1,706$566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$565.64	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54f0…7a91backed Yes	7c	1,448$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.09	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+1.4wins	+0.14per pick	6cpaid	+288.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xded5…d9cabacked Yes	41c	1,400$577 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$577.2	40	10%4 W · 36 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a03…0fcabacked Yes	3c	1,380$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.12	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.11per pick	29cpaid	-74%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbed…aa02backed Yes	2c	1,350$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.85	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+55.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3366…e5bebacked Yes	3c	1,260$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.98	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e8c…e69dbacked Yes	7c	1,168$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.54	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd406…e83abacked Yes	53c	1,140$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	65cpaid	-36%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	3c	1,126$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.74	110	11.8%13 W · 97 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2499…fed3backed Yes	3c	1,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.73	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a4d…caa6backed Yes	10c	958.3$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.46	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	32cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2227…b572backed Yes	16c	943$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.35	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.22per pick	38cpaid	-65.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56d4…b609backed Yes	2c	936.61$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.92	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe157…6db1backed Yes	36c	824.62$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.69	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	12c	817.58$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.59	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d0d…ef5fbacked Yes	4c	800$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.8	20	30%6 W · 14 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	24cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x27db…e863backed Yes	50c	784.01$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391.73	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18a7…d21abacked Yes	2c	729$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.07	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.15per pick	13cpaid	+152.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb88…0e56backed Yes	33c	700$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.35	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64ad…3050backed Yes	41c	696.68$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.38	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d34…17e8backed Yes	10c	615.52$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.77	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4427…498dbacked No	65c	610$394 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.5	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x57b9…7726backed Yes	44c	609.58$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.22	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcdd7…b90fbacked Yes	7c	600$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.4	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x983f…fd5ebacked Yes	7c	599.99$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.9	68	20.6%14 W · 54 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-60.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3b…c3e2backed Yes	7c	589.99$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.52	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes	3c	588.24$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	76	7.9%6 W · 70 L	-12.3wins	-0.16per pick	24cpaid	-66.8%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x548c…46a9backed Yes	4c	542.97$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.18	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes	3c	542.47$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.47	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb295…4ee4backed No	63c	500$314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89b5…ab4cbacked Yes	20c	492.05$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	52	23.1%12 W · 40 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaaec…8dc8backed Yes	14c	448.49$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.71	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…e4a7backed Yes	13c	428.57$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-83.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9624…1373backed Yes	11c	418.5$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x573d…3507backed Yes	14c	404.15$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.38	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38ef…de5dbacked Yes	7c	400$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.59	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-83.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd48…db01backed Yes	3c	388.51$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.42	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-82.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbba4…f8c6backed Yes	4c	350$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.52	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3673…7c89backed Yes	5c	340$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40b2…c0c1backed Yes	9c	333.67$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…ff7cbacked Yes	3c	329.13$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c4f…965cbacked Yes	20c	301.33$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.84	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-83.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Yes	14c	301$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.24	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f9…1245backed Yes	36c	300$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa1b…e2e2backed Yes	48c	292.25$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.53	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeba1…8598backed Yes	11c	285.12$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes	32c	262.5$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x38cb…8e1fbacked Yes	24c	259.48$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.7	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.17per pick	16cpaid	+22%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4b6…41a7backed Yes	40c	252.53$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	-42%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x298f…85adbacked Yes	19c	220$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.33	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d0…4e7dbacked Yes	7c	214$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.53	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	11cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa58…7316backed Yes	7c	211$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.19	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-67.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd78…e773backed Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.4	31	16.1%5 W · 26 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-66.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5da6…388fbacked Yes	32c	200$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.96	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2467…e1c8backed Yes	27c	192.46$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.61	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	+148.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed Yes	10c	180.98$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.1	35	40%14 W · 21 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+156.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35d4…4c1cbacked Yes	6c	177.75$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.99	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-76.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb51b…06b7backed Yes	8c	165.59$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e0a…4c59backed Yes	43c	151.98$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab3…9f4dbacked Yes	16c	138.75$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.2	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	17cpaid	-82.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafbc…a8b5backed Yes	11c	135.82$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked Yes	8c	130$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.27	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.21per pick	35cpaid	-68.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc468…009dbacked Yes	20c	120$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.68	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	+1.7wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe60…6eadbacked Yes	15c	114.46$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-3.3wins	-0.20per pick	43cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7478…32fbbacked Yes	31c	112.37$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.09	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ff0…f9e0backed Yes	32c	110.4$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.37	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.17per pick	47cpaid	-59.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9cc…387abacked Yes	11c	106$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-64%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Yes	36c	101.37$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.47	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+120.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Chess and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Ian Nepomniachtchi win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?this page
Will Alexander Grischuk win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?No won
Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?No won
Will Arjun Erigaisi win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?No won
Will Ben Finegold win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?No won
Will Daniel Naroditsky win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?No won
Will Daniil Dubov win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?No won
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?No won
Will Hans Niemann win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?No won
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?No won
Will Jan-Krzysztof Duda win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?No won
Will Levon Aronian win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?No won
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?No won
Will Maxime Vachier-Lagrave win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?No won
Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?No won
Will Olexandr Bortnyk win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?No won
Will Rameshbabu Praggnanandhaa win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?No won
Will Volodar Murzin win the 2024 World Blitz Championship? No won
Will Wei Yi win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?No won
Will Wesley So win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?No won
Will another person win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Ian Nepomniachtchi win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event