TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3673…7c89

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
123
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: La Liga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 54 out of 100; worst Middle East at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST2917.2%5 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-42.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+105%+$207.93
Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50.2
Magnus Carlsen wins both World Rapid & Blitz Championships?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+231.1%+$545.33
Will Daniil Dubov win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Jan-Krzysztof Duda win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+100%+$89.01
Will David Anton Guijarro win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Vladislav Artemiev win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$85
Will José Martínez Alcántara win the 2025 FIDE World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$42.35
Will Arjun Erigaisi win the 2025 FIDE World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$22.38
FIDE World Cup 2025 - Jose Eduardo Martinez Alcantara vs Nodirbek Abdusattorov (Advances)backed Abdusattorov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$36.47
Will Vincent Keymer win the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$111.75
Will Vincent Keymer win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Paris?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.47
Will Vincent Keymer win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST+521%+$310.34
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$99.49
Will Ian Nepomniachtchi win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$17
Will Jan-Krzysztof Duda win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$45
Will Hans Niemann win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Will Volodar Murzin win the 2024 World Blitz Championship? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$153.84
Will Daniil Dubov win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$105.59
Will Daniel Naroditsky win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$190.77
Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov win the World Rapid Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$127.47
Will Maxime Vachier-Lagrave win the 2024 World Rapid Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Will Jan-Krzysztof Duda win the World Rapid Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$150
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.65
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+163.2%+$73.42
Will Levante UD win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$19.07
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+29.9%+$13.19
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Levante UD win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.87
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$56
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+78.6%+$63.64
Will Elche CF win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+49.3%+$37.43
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+81.8%+$61.6
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+31.6%+$18.32
Will Real Murcia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Ourense CF vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+51.5%+$50.48
Will Elche CF win on 2025-11-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$73
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT120%0 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.04
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$80.17
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$150
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$30
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$53.55
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$114
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 12 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST70%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Poker Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2025, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Poker — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-58.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-36.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+194%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+202.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+29.9%+$35.27
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+51.5%+$54.54
Hornets vs. Pelicansbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$33.13
Heat vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+29.9%+$29.87
All 4 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-67.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-50%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+78.6%+$47.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Utrecht vs. FC Porto end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+28.2%+$14.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$151.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet less than 400 times Jan 10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$63.01
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.