TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Elche CF win on 2025-11-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$199,954
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$203,013

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,954 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes35c120,000$42,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,00017248.8%84 W · 88 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed No65c80,000$52,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,0002250%11 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No65c22,275$14,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,796.289743.3%42 W · 55 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No66c14,211$9,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,806.374,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed No22c10,917$2,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,544.347445.9%34 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No70c8,332$5,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,534.9527453.6%147 W · 127 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No65c8,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,80024147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes31c7,499$2,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,324.699154.9%50 W · 41 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No65c6,551$4,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,305.515750.3%79 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf209…97e1backed Yes32c4,695$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,497.892931%9 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes31c4,211$1,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,318.268521.2%18 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda9f…9648backed Yes33c3,030$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes4c2,300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff5b…c583backed Yes34c1,598$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebf1…1d5dbacked Yes74c1,564$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick75cpaid-54.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes56c1,556$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.6540033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No21c1,390$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.43,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No71c1,359$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39412050%60 W · 60 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1861…408dbacked Yes31c1,100$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Yes29c1,034$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked No38c984.25$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.0460147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked No66c909.09$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.091361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked No40c815.16$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.094344.2%19 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb247…bb09backed Yes72c803.45$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccc0…0fa5backed No69c733.26$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.31742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc079…8accbacked Yes31c731$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.613946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1ec…6933backed Yes31c700$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21740%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes31c645.13$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.996035%21 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7055…9717backed Yes32c600$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a13…db82backed No66c600$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2041553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No23c552.31$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.0430743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd832…67e0backed Yes35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17511244.6%50 W · 62 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cb6…15cdbacked No69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc77…03b8backed No70c476.23$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked No21c433.33$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.331752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+28.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Yes74c405.41$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005952.5%31 W · 28 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed No42c400$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2322965.5%19 W · 10 L+7.1wins+0.24per pick41cpaid+65.4%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Yes69c376.81$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601957.9%11 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes34c372.88$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.4527854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed No70c369$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.1410063%63 W · 37 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No66c349.95$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.088939.3%35 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7fa…44e5backed No70c344.4$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0613…5204backed Yes36c315.14$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.25825.9%15 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed No66c300$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1024731.9%15 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+33%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaef…a883backed Yes31c300$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed No69c289.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.91090%9 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick72cpaid+28.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7180…bdbabacked Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006639.4%26 W · 40 L-8.9wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-25.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa65b…0419backed Yes70c285.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No24c262.05$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19829946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes36c258.33$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923562.9%22 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes35c256$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.65940.7%24 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6def…0b75backed No65c250$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3673…7c89backed Yes31c235.48$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No29c207.84$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.8755941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Yes34c183.36$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.510956.9%62 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes47c179.9$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.8529038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes34c179.61$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0716926%44 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Yes48c170$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.33842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbaa…59b8backed Yes29c168.97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492556%14 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd97c…aedbbacked No66c168.18$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.181090%9 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick68cpaid+32%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes27c164$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2841147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes25c164$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414456.8%25 W · 19 L+6.5wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+22.9%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked No75c164$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6542…8f30backed No66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4537…491dbacked No66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.521330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-45.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeee1…52e1backed No66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513250%16 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Yes50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753050%15 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f84…7650backed No70c150$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dcb…3487backed Yes35c148.57$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Yes34c147.3$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.082020%4 W · 16 L-4.4wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-65.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa520…e1a2backed Yes33c145.65$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.251225%3 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-49.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed No69c144.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.595050%25 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ab9…1437backed Yes35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504134.1%14 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-41.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x24b8…6a66backed Yes35c137.14$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488261%50 W · 32 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023855.9%133 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90b5…d709backed Yes25c131.72$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4762…dc1bbacked Yes77c130$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No44c125.57$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7717155%94 W · 77 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x079a…8fbabacked No66c125$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d11…0c08backed Yes34c124.82$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x56fa…58b6backed Yes79c121.52$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Yes33c121.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-63.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes29c119.19$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357448.6%36 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe277…c3acbacked Yes70c115.87$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.11366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Yes34c111.9$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.056535.4%23 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes36c111.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c68…f2a8backed Yes27c109.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3c1…3ac2backed No24c106.63$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+318.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3412917.8%23 W · 106 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes76c100$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7620255%111 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed No65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3542458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaa8…b3e2backed No70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fdc…2c26backed No70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307241.7%30 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66fe…e123backed No69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+26.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xff7c…3e9fbacked Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2816…0730backed Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3130%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.