La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-11-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x913f246b986a8ac34bbefec30e4426e5e444a1e89eca5ccd2438148aa49bcfd7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,449
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,449 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 72c | 21,123$15,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,934.87 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Yes | 39c | 12,821$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb071…ecabbacked Yes | 6c | 8,315$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 63c | 8,162$5,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,017.57 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 7,720$4,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,763.2 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 7,597$4,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,984.86 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 61c | 7,500$4,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,925 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 36c | 6,605$2,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,377.8 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…456cbacked Yes | 39c | 6,457$2,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,546.68 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Yes | 36c | 5,658$2,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,036.88 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 61c | 5,163$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,013.69 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd735…968ebacked Yes | 36c | 5,092$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca15…0d5ebacked Yes | 36c | 4,444$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2839…0efebacked Yes | 36c | 4,014$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 76c | 3,814$2,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.31 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 34c | 2,144$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.69 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 61c | 2,041$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 35c | 1,759$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.49 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 39c | 1,602$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.78 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yes | 36c | 1,401$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.38 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes | 37c | 1,353$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.67 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 64c | 1,149$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.3 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 65c | 1,112$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.32 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…db82backed No | 61c | 1,100$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 36c | 1,097$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.32 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Yes | 26c | 949.57$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.8 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 69c | 924.37$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.94 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…ee33backed Yes | 37c | 920$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.39 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3667…75ffbacked Yes | 38c | 901.59$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8b…b3c3backed Yes | 30c | 796.77$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Yes | 39c | 766.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 63c | 741.64$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.48 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked No | 65c | 632.31$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.31 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 39c | 600$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 64c | 599.96$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.99 | 143 | 48.3%69 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…1c3bbacked Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…f2a0backed Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 22c | 545.87$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 283 | 42.8%121 W · 162 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…0319backed Yes | 38c | 526.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5911…9920backed No | 65c | 524.03$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b97…fa21backed Yes | 31c | 514.48$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…4295backed No | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Yes | 37c | 499.99$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 63c | 408.22$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.22 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes | 37c | 405$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.71 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 19c | 374.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x757a…f39ebacked Yes | 3c | 359.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 3c | 350$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 135 | 26.7%36 W · 99 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 64c | 344.99$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d96…b432backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Yes | 36c | 280$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Yes | 23c | 277.65$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fea…23b2backed Yes | 36c | 276.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x658d…859fbacked Yes | 36c | 273.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…9ab4backed Yes | 36c | 271.03$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.57 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 63c | 266.28$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f56…f93cbacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 39c | 260$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…d8cabacked Yes | 40c | 253.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78d7…b103backed Yes | 39c | 248.72$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0196…d9f9backed Yes | 37c | 229.74$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 63c | 222.34$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes | 36c | 222.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 36c | 221$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 64c | 215.33$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.52 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 22c | 211.53$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Yes | 35c | 206.14$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bb…a95bbacked Yes | 37c | 204.56$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed No | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +6.9wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3513…c19dbacked No | 70c | 183.46$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9efd…1880backed No | 64c | 174.89$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55fd…73b5backed No | 65c | 164.95$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +101.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…59b8backed Yes | 31c | 164.35$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x084d…7e47backed Yes | 37c | 160.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…a1eebacked No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +119.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bb…410bbacked Yes | 36c | 152.78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcb…47a9backed No | 65c | 152.06$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed Yes | 36c | 151.37$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.21 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 36c | 127.78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f96…bfdabacked Yes | 39c | 125.75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 38c | 122$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.39 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…3b71backed Yes | 36c | 111.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b6…df1bbacked Yes | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…446bbacked Yes | 36c | 110.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 71c | 104$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…ed14backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-11-07?this page
- Will Elche CF vs. Real Sociedad end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Elche CF win on 2025-11-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.