TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xac71…d8ca

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst La Liga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT2962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$10.46
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$192.06
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$36.46
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+376.2%+$112.86
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$40
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+28.2%+$44
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+37%+$18.49
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+240%+$24
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+170.3%+$85.14
LoL: DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+51.5%+$41.21
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$544Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+47.1%+$256
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+58.7%+$323.02
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+31.6%+$94.74
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$122.73
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO1)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$81.69
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$25.58
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.67
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.45
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$89.85
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$330
Spread: Manchester United (-1.5)backed Manchester United · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$583Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$582.84
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+75.4%+$108.26
Spread: Arsenal (-1.5)backed Tottenham · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Spread: Liverpool (-1.5)backed Liverpool · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+58.7%+$117.46
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+96.1%+$96.08
Spread: Chelsea (-1.5)backed Chelsea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+112.8%+$112.77
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$400
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Rockets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+53.8%+$53.85
Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Raptors (-5.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+81.8%+$40.91
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Lakers (-7.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+88.7%+$88.68
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+92.3%+$92.31
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+81.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+70.1%+$70.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 16, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ceará SC win on 2025-10-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5)backed Feyenoord Rotterdam · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$400
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Borussia Dortmund vs. 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.