TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
DN Freecsof BNK FEARX, DN Freecs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$388,287
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$449,461

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $388,287 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2f9a…7ef9backed BNK FEARX0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-54%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed BNK FEARX0c65,434$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.5554944.4%244 W · 305 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd812…2558backed BNK FEARX29c50,000$14,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,599.9921137%78 W · 133 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x689a…97a4backed DN Freecs61c17,623$10,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,901.049741.2%40 W · 57 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed DN Freecs60c10,417$6,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,197.351,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd997…53f2backed DN Freecs33c5,827$1,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,904.091070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+45.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf6f9…bff5backed DN Freecs73c5,608$4,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,504.0513355.6%74 W · 59 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed BNK FEARX23c5,376$1,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,233.2123447.9%112 W · 122 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked DN Freecs70c5,045$3,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,536.731,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d8f…2999backed BNK FEARX67c4,833$3,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,238.111154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d5…45eebacked BNK FEARX70c4,298$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00059558.3%347 W · 248 L-29.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked BNK FEARX63c4,217$2,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,668.597061.4%43 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked DN Freecs61c4,053$2,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,578.231,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3b8…b4d8backed DN Freecs39c3,844$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,34443151.3%221 W · 210 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf16c…d7f4backed DN Freecs47c3,664$1,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,948.525848.3%28 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed DN Freecs31c3,122$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,147.991,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed BNK FEARX54c3,009$1,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,63017933%59 W · 120 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed DN Freecs68c2,982$2,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.4969756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde0c…a715backed DN Freecs48c2,956$1,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,551.3225269.8%176 W · 76 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x755d…37e7backed BNK FEARX52c2,883$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.1515166.2%100 W · 51 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x500f…94bfbacked BNK FEARX63c2,672$1,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,682.1118961.4%116 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed BNK FEARX62c2,331$1,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440.981,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed BNK FEARX44c2,099$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.3749549.1%243 W · 252 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6260…fccbbacked BNK FEARX3c2,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606297%44 W · 585 L-2.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-33.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed DN Freecs51c2,000$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.988648.8%42 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b89…fdf9backed BNK FEARX58c1,972$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136.0852650.8%267 W · 259 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed DN Freecs37c1,743$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,098.41,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba0c…f837backed DN Freecs59c1,717$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.1421857.8%126 W · 92 L+18.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked BNK FEARX64c1,563$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00018755.1%103 W · 84 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed DN Freecs32c1,560$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.814038.6%54 W · 86 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed BNK FEARX67c1,502$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.6731661.7%195 W · 121 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed BNK FEARX64c1,500$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9603,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae72…f49dbacked DN Freecs29c1,400$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993.9938335%134 W · 249 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed DN Freecs38c1,330$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.61,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8568…bc38backed BNK FEARX1c1,300$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136216.1%10 W · 52 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa502…8c2bbacked DN Freecs39c1,282$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.05944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed BNK FEARX63c1,110$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.382554.8%452 W · 373 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5f…8a41backed DN Freecs60c1,103$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.4516040%64 W · 96 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-24.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed BNK FEARX61c1,100$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67671249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed BNK FEARX61c1,069$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.8982352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed DN Freecs61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.461,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed DN Freecs38c1,000$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6201,18044.5%525 W · 655 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a08…f99ebacked BNK FEARX67c994$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.981566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+45.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a94…5e99backed BNK FEARX63c952.38$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004443.2%19 W · 25 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-30.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x959f…9e2fbacked DN Freecs60c945.83$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.8310352.4%54 W · 49 L-10.0wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed DN Freecs36c807.28$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.661,00354%542 W · 461 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed BNK FEARX36c752.07$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.751,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6be4…1f20backed DN Freecs40c742.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.9952747.6%251 W · 276 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked DN Freecs61c713.51$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.2792354.3%501 W · 422 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed DN Freecs31c702.98$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.6919844.9%89 W · 109 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed BNK FEARX48c700$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33940347.4%191 W · 212 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked BNK FEARX61c668$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.831,21254.5%660 W · 552 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed BNK FEARX15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038835.3%137 W · 251 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed DN Freecs45c641$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.9145041.1%185 W · 265 L-25.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x96f8…2560backed BNK FEARX63c620.8$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.2137660.9%229 W · 147 L-28.1wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-11.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked BNK FEARX67c600$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40216347.2%77 W · 86 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed DN Freecs37c599.99$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.991,18352%615 W · 568 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed DN Freecs40c500.2$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.218839.9%75 W · 113 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed DN Freecs38c500$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3112,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed BNK FEARX2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102193.2%7 W · 212 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed DN Freecs32c500$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34011833.9%40 W · 78 L-10.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf344…13ffbacked DN Freecs39c482.05$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.0528166.5%187 W · 94 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c03…ffcdbacked BNK FEARX12c401.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017448.3%84 W · 90 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0535…75ccbacked DN Freecs37c400$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2521,00949.2%496 W · 513 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca67…c864backed BNK FEARX63c400$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25218744.9%84 W · 103 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed DN Freecs57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17286758.1%504 W · 363 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf32b…90c8backed BNK FEARX49c399.99$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1965044%22 W · 28 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+27.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed BNK FEARX65c384$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.628843.8%126 W · 162 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed DN Freecs48c360.38$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.423020%46 W · 184 L-17.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-36.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd142…5c9ebacked DN Freecs44c304.77$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.7725942.1%109 W · 150 L-12.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd011…ac5dbacked BNK FEARX49c302.7$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14925648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed BNK FEARX63c300$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.814637.7%55 W · 91 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed BNK FEARX68c300$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20475738.6%292 W · 465 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked DN Freecs37c300$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18995951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x383f…38c0backed DN Freecs38c300$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0563…8b03backed DN Freecs38c300$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18668443.6%298 W · 386 L+16.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed DN Freecs34c291.17$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1744335.4%157 W · 286 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed BNK FEARX49c289.98$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.8939750.1%199 W · 198 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed DN Freecs28c284.92$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.1437641.8%157 W · 219 L-18.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4948…08bdbacked BNK FEARX31c271.31$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.829833.9%101 W · 197 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59aa…3376backed DN Freecs38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.161,13143.1%487 W · 644 L+0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked BNK FEARX61c250$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.218747.1%88 W · 99 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x968f…2a1fbacked DN Freecs40c249.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.3922646.5%105 W · 121 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed DN Freecs36c240.46$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.112937.2%48 W · 81 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked BNK FEARX66c225.7$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14870752.9%374 W · 333 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec9a…ad34backed DN Freecs36c225$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14412137.2%45 W · 76 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked DN Freecs37c201.58$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.581,18548.1%570 W · 615 L-2.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x444e…1a78backed DN Freecs33c200$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1341861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+39.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d4a…2215backed BNK FEARX62c200$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1247951.9%41 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked BNK FEARX10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2029335.2%103 W · 190 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked DN Freecs37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1261,00748.2%485 W · 522 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x534b…983fbacked DN Freecs32c199.99$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.9942835%150 W · 278 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ac…f6b4backed BNK FEARX50c199.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10034631.2%108 W · 238 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8307…1cadbacked DN Freecs59c195.23$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.0411662.9%73 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed DN Freecs38c184.64$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.641,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed DN Freecs49c183.67$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.6774344%327 W · 416 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed DN Freecs37c180$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.443148%207 W · 224 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5c2…bdc7backed BNK FEARX51c178.1$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.992536%9 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked DN Freecs57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441,04846.1%483 W · 565 L-43.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0775…b0c5backed BNK FEARX43c157.25$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3825547.8%122 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.