Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs DN Freecs (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x111df34ab8a912289e0fc5a43270a1b6c517a489d187d90414707201dbf92a52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DN Freecsof BNK FEARX, DN Freecs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked BNK FEARX | 58c | 70,000$40,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,600 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed DN Freecs | 42c | 69,983$29,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,589.9 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…f688backed DN Freecs | 44c | 10,000$4,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,601.18 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed BNK FEARX | 56c | 7,088$3,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,969.83 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed DN Freecs | 42c | 4,285$1,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,498.15 | 823 | 52.7%434 W · 389 L | +41.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed BNK FEARX | 57c | 3,702$2,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,123.64 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed DN Freecs | 44c | 3,500$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,965.64 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed BNK FEARX | 56c | 3,333$1,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.48 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed BNK FEARX | 58c | 3,100$1,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798 | 769 | 53.4%411 W · 358 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed DN Freecs | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 140 | 38.6%54 W · 86 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…0e0cbacked DN Freecs | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.81 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked BNK FEARX | 56c | 960.96$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.14 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -9.3wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…d5c3backed DN Freecs | 45c | 757.6$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.68 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed BNK FEARX | 60c | 744.37$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed BNK FEARX | 56c | 700$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed DN Freecs | 43c | 699.74$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.85 | 857 | 46.3%397 W · 460 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed BNK FEARX | 57c | 695.76$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.58 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed DN Freecs | 39c | 655.31$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.74 | 440 | 47.5%209 W · 231 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed BNK FEARX | 57c | 620.99$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.73 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked BNK FEARX | 56c | 599.99$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.99 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed DN Freecs | 44c | 595.03$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.28 | 131 | 36.6%48 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…848bbacked BNK FEARX | 57c | 568$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.76 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked DN Freecs | 43c | 550$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.5 | 362 | 46.4%168 W · 194 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…5172backed BNK FEARX | 59c | 547.46$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…f1f3backed BNK FEARX | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 246 | 48.4%119 W · 127 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…b0c5backed DN Freecs | 52c | 496.39$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.02 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked BNK FEARX | 57c | 480.68$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.59 | 821 | 61%501 W · 320 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed BNK FEARX | 13c | 404.71$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.51 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed BNK FEARX | 59c | 400$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked DN Freecs | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 211 | 50.7%107 W · 104 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…2b2dbacked DN Freecs | 40c | 250.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.68 | 261 | 55.9%146 W · 115 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaabf…9e7fbacked BNK FEARX | 61c | 238.63$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.9 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed DN Freecs | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked DN Freecs | 45c | 222.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.45 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed BNK FEARX | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed BNK FEARX | 59c | 196.54$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.96 | 580 | 46.9%272 W · 308 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed DN Freecs | 36c | 195.6$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.18 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…bc9bbacked BNK FEARX | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.46per pick | 61cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3230…782dbacked DN Freecs | 66c | 149.71$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.71 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea1d…9984backed BNK FEARX | 37c | 146.68$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.32 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…a520backed DN Freecs | 42c | 140$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed BNK FEARX | 57c | 125$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked DN Freecs | 40c | 119.59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.13 | 135 | 25.2%34 W · 101 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee3…49c0backed BNK FEARX | 59c | 118.59$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed DN Freecs | 41c | 116.55$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.76 | 183 | 42.6%78 W · 105 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…3d4cbacked DN Freecs | 45c | 116$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.12 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed BNK FEARX | 59c | 110$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 431 | 48%207 W · 224 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed DN Freecs | 38c | 105.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed DN Freecs | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32b…90c8backed BNK FEARX | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb92…b02dbacked BNK FEARX | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50f6…b8c6backed BNK FEARX | 56c | 97.76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed DN Freecs | 44c | 93.95$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.37 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63f2…e0c9backed DN Freecs | 41c | 88.59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.27 | 181 | 61.3%111 W · 70 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed BNK FEARX | 61c | 85.48$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.14 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed BNK FEARX | 59c | 83.75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe2…607bbacked DN Freecs | 38c | 79.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.59 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed BNK FEARX | 23c | 78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…4a23backed BNK FEARX | 58c | 74.6$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd011…ac5dbacked BNK FEARX | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef77…92dbbacked BNK FEARX | 56c | 71.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked BNK FEARX | 25c | 70.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 395 | 7.1%28 W · 367 L | -122.2wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…5ea8backed DN Freecs | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6a…a9f8backed DN Freecs | 49c | 51.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed DN Freecs | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed DN Freecs | 40c | 44.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 403 | 47.4%191 W · 212 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…c23dbacked DN Freecs | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c30…d531backed DN Freecs | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2d…1dc7backed BNK FEARX | 35c | 44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdf…9643backed BNK FEARX | 64c | 42.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed DN Freecs | 41c | 41.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 443 | 35.4%157 W · 286 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c4…ecf0backed BNK FEARX | 64c | 37.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9488…434ebacked BNK FEARX | 56c | 35.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9a…4f4fbacked BNK FEARX | 56c | 35.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca1…60eabacked BNK FEARX | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1be…cff5backed BNK FEARX | 56c | 35.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked BNK FEARX | 66c | 35.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 351 | 64.1%225 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…7a44backed BNK FEARX | 56c | 34.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e5…450cbacked DN Freecs | 73c | 34.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed DN Freecs | 38c | 34.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…0539backed BNK FEARX | 56c | 33.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf63c…0bd3backed BNK FEARX | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…fec7backed BNK FEARX | 56c | 32.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae6e…b24fbacked BNK FEARX | 63c | 31.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eee…74e0backed BNK FEARX | 63c | 30.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb44f…74c3backed DN Freecs | 45c | 28.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked DN Freecs | 40c | 28.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b30…99cdbacked BNK FEARX | 56c | 27.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…b99dbacked BNK FEARX | 60c | 27.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed DN Freecs | 45c | 26.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed BNK FEARX | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 151 | 53.6%81 W · 70 L | +17.3wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1581…b2febacked BNK FEARX | 56c | 24.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa06…5e96backed BNK FEARX | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17b0…523bbacked BNK FEARX | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed BNK FEARX | 60c | 22.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dc…a656backed BNK FEARX | 56c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed BNK FEARX | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked BNK FEARX | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 181 | 65.7%119 W · 62 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5db0…73f1backed BNK FEARX | 59c | 16.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…4476backed BNK FEARX | 62c | 16.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs DN Freecs (+1.5)this page
- Game Handicap: BFX (-2.5) vs DN Freecs (+2.5)DN Freecs won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup PlayoffsBNK FEARX won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs - Game 1 WinnerDN Freecs won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs - Game 2 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs - Game 3 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers - Game 4 WinnerDN SOOPers won
- Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 5?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.