TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7f6a…a9f8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
157
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: AI, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category AI at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT6759.7%40 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffsbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.24
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$9.67
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$9.99
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.76
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$9.14
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy (BO3) - Asia Masters Group Bbacked Bilibili Gaming Junior · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.73
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Partizan Sangal (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stagebacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+57%+$7.84
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.98
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$8.56
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.69
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.46
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.52
LoL: JD Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$3.61
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10.5
LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.48
LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$2.67
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT4348.8%21 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Entropy vs SAW (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Entropy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.86
Counter-Strike: K27 vs SHISHKA - Map 2 Winnerbacked SHISHKA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.69
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.65
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+80%+$18.4
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$37.14
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$36.72
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$32.87
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$12.57
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$23.22
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$14.97
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.78
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Play-Inbacked HEROIC Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+73%+$10.95
Map Handicap: KOL (-1.5) vs ASTRAL (+1.5)backed KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.19
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.85
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.61
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10.15
Spread: Scotland (-1.5)backed Scotland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.91
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.65
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$13.03
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)backed Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$18.77
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-48.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-47.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+33.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 2, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ludogorets vs. Real Betis end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Will Real Betis win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$26.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Sep 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+98%+$19.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+81.9%+$13.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 20 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Cougars vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$25.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.