TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$141,427
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$150,175

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,427 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over34c22,222$7,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,666.5142345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under67c19,900$13,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,430.34,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Under58c13,014$7,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,548.322846.9%107 W · 121 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over37c7,798$2,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,916.963,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under67c5,078$3,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,409.694,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Over42c5,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,899.958357.8%48 W · 35 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+77.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ca9…062dbacked Under58c4,828$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8001513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over38c4,676$1,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,899.12,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under61c4,050$2,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,450.525857.4%148 W · 110 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5438…8206backed Over42c3,772$1,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,187.65944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbd9…de31backed Under58c3,674$2,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,128.895360.4%32 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over35c3,189$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,069.042,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54ce…9f80backed Under61c2,773$1,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,691.299551.6%49 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Under58c2,586$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50021442.5%91 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Under58c2,560$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4857744.2%34 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf285…ab24backed Over42c2,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1609253.3%49 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under72c1,974$1,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,418.272,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over32c1,800$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.394,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24fd…1250backed Over40c1,675$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0052825%7 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+78.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12a2…0e71backed Under64c1,563$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00019158.1%111 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5005…23febacked Under2c1,100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-57.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over41c1,035$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.5864443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over78c1,024$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.9659453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over30c1,016$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.161,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43e3…43f7backed Under58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58023230.2%70 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Under60c999.99$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60033555.5%186 W · 149 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Over42c903.66$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.5711243.8%49 W · 63 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over42c856.19$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.5948152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed Under19c789$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9113552.6%71 W · 64 L+25.9wins+0.19per pick33cpaid+129%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed Under60c769.41$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.651747.1%8 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under57c719.98$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.3916165.8%106 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over42c715$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.733443.4%145 W · 189 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Over27c676$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.483545.7%16 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+31.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over41c603.26$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.932,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Over41c599.98$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.7447648.5%231 W · 245 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over23c589.74$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.532,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5dd…345cbacked Over35c571.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.4315747.1%74 W · 83 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Under75c560$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42022355.6%124 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdda1…9527backed Under60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011333.6%38 W · 75 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under59c497$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.332,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc06b…d849backed Over39c495.9$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.441346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under59c492.76$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.843,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under59c469.83$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.245038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under59c465.52$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.31,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4fc…3a75backed Under5c440$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99d0…3405backed Under58c400$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2321127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-38.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Under63c394.1$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.5822449.1%110 W · 114 L+20.3wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf38…2ccdbacked Under56c388.28$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.441540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under71c354.89$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.212,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb06b…10fabacked Under64c348.75$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.2650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc18f…d860backed Under58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40fb…3bd7backed Under58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006841.2%28 W · 40 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf91…844ebacked Under59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick38cpaid+40.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67d3…b524backed Under60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009939.4%39 W · 60 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f4b…3963backed Under60c328.32$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.992045%9 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe832…7abbbacked Under61c325$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.2530%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over12c307$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.221,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under59c300$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1771,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Under60c286.08$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.396762.7%42 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24b6…dd5bbacked Over38c284.04$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.31540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-6.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4337…6e4ebacked Under57c262.96$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.897475.7%56 W · 18 L+10.8wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+20.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xaa8f…14d1backed Over38c253.05$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.852133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over36c250$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1601,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Over20c244.48$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.489334.4%32 W · 61 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x332d…cf77backed Over42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.12347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+27.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9c3…dbc7backed Over44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.279439.4%37 W · 57 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bf7…495cbacked Under61c219.72$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.03520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-68.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0195…1e21backed Under64c212.91$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.2644144%194 W · 247 L-0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over40c212.63$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.771,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x372e…4453backed Over38c209.98$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.2914829.1%43 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under70c205.37$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.151,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked Under58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1168048.8%39 W · 41 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under62c200$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12320841.3%86 W · 122 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aa8…1f7bbacked Under61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12210245.1%46 W · 56 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3c7…c83bbacked Under60c192.7$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.626448.4%31 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03bc…ad27backed Under60c183.33$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11015227%41 W · 111 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2116…eb8fbacked Under11c175.74$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.672722.2%6 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3803…7eafbacked Over33c175$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11720850.5%105 W · 103 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+95.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe3e9…4288backed Under60c174.42$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.653342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5a6…995cbacked Under58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004734%16 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9641…55d1backed Under58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019428.9%56 W · 138 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdda5…c82abacked Under58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005056%28 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37a0…8423backed Under58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018942.3%80 W · 109 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x299e…25b6backed Under58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005236.5%19 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f2…e64ebacked Under58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010354.4%56 W · 47 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed Over11c171.01$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.210273.5%75 W · 27 L+15.0wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+40.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xec28…8d7abacked Over36c166.44$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.521741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under61c163.75$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.272,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec54…a03dbacked Under61c150$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.52536%9 W · 16 L-6.0wins-0.24per pick60cpaid-43.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x9818…68e1backed Under68c146.61$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.223542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under60c142.43$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.4677845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09a3…3dedbacked Under10c137$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.71612.5%2 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick13cpaid-25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under65c135.02$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.841,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b3c…83e6backed Over43c134.88$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.881936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick30cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a91…9c50backed Over39c134.46$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.023438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3913…5015backed Over11c130.73$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.358143.2%35 W · 46 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf676…b039backed Over42c130$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.718448.9%90 W · 94 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd679…7c88backed Under62c129.03$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-57.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cb2…507abacked Under60c125.08$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7512637.3%47 W · 79 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x660e…0e69backed Over40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753129%9 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.