Fifa International · resolved market
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd66e813436b47aefaa9c3662d4088b5f6304bd021bd2a4581cc658c262128cc9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,780
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,780 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 4c | 16,254$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.21 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Under | 3c | 8,814$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.97 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked Under | 4c | 6,000$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.2 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under | 4c | 5,190$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.92 | 396 | 44.7%177 W · 219 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Under | 4c | 5,185$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.41 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 5c | 5,000$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.43 | 161 | 16.1%26 W · 135 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 4c | 4,709$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.48 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 4c | 3,965$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.86 | 681 | 41.1%280 W · 401 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Under | 4c | 3,869$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.97 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 5c | 2,819$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.77 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 4c | 2,192$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.37 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 5c | 2,033$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.72 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Under | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +122.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a4…fed7backed Under | 5c | 1,984$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.24 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 2c | 1,417$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 217 | 22.1%48 W · 169 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 4c | 1,389$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.22 | 216 | 30.1%65 W · 151 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Under | 2c | 1,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 4c | 1,134$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 351 | 50.7%178 W · 173 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 4c | 1,093$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…c202backed Under | 5c | 1,070$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed Under | 5c | 999.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 197 | 23.4%46 W · 151 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Under | 5c | 999.94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3641…5835backed Under | 5c | 921.56$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b22…0c6fbacked Under | 4c | 829.55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 71 | 8.5%6 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 4c | 799.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…5ac3backed Under | 3c | 699.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…9e8dbacked Under | 4c | 650.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 4c | 636.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Under | 5c | 535$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 4c | 438.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ce…3cf8backed Under | 4c | 428.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…279cbacked Under | 4c | 424.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Under | 4c | 416.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 4c | 386.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafab…8991backed Under | 6c | 363.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…f76abacked Under | 4c | 357.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb9…bb3cbacked Under | 3c | 349.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5daa…d619backed Under | 4c | 348.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 188 | 29.3%55 W · 133 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 4c | 343.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 4c | 340.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 436 | 53.7%234 W · 202 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Under | 4c | 320.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 4c | 281.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…7047backed Under | 4c | 268.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 175 | 6.9%12 W · 163 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 4c | 252.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 4c | 249.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5this page
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5Over won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 5.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 6.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 7.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5Over won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 1.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 2.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 0.5Over won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Qatar (-1.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Qatar (-2.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Qatar (-3.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)Qatar won
- Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)Qatar won
- Spread: Switzerland (-3.5)Qatar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.