TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,735
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$78,850

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,735 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c13,505$7,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,355.44,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over47c13,105$6,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,131.082,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under54c7,842$4,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,619.52,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under55c4,026$2,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,810.354,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over45c3,094$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,386.3543248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54ce…9f80backed Under56c2,522$1,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.889551.6%49 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x27cc…884bbacked Over43c2,500$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.892240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5257…f324backed Over46c2,257$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.011625%4 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under53c1,998$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.352,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over27c1,963$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.822,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Over46c1,799$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.0712248.4%59 W · 63 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over60c1,500$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under53c1,410$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.621,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under50c1,401$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.2634249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under46c1,344$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.916857.4%39 W · 29 L+7.9wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+25.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over40c1,243$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.031,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9728…cb59backed Over45c1,229$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.231827.8%5 W · 13 L-5.4wins-0.30per pick58cpaid-53.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x3f5e…ddaabacked Over42c1,219$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.244156.1%23 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under53c1,211$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.663,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0193…bad1backed Under53c1,132$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.083551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8a8…be88backed Over47c1,046$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.774353.5%23 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under54c991.82$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.2461750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c05…9e9fbacked Over52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500214.8%1 W · 20 L-4.8wins-0.23per pick28cpaid-85.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x05d9…ecd7backed Under55c892.33$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.553423.5%8 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under52c805.89$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.8374447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Over49c716.53$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4547…5750backed Over42c696.12$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.371070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe78…1823backed Over47c638.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005221.2%11 W · 41 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Over46c600$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27611243.8%49 W · 63 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfbb…de86backed Over50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006251.6%32 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under53c576.57$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.623,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeea8…0412backed Under55c550$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x459a…bf86backed Over46c543.48$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509237%34 W · 58 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0100…9babbacked Over50c503.23$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked Over45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22515149.7%75 W · 76 L+13.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+10.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe7c0…24eebacked Over48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2405154.9%28 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under54c499.97$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.9933149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under54c468$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.282,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Over54c450$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.5419838.4%76 W · 122 L-18.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over54c450$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24319039.5%75 W · 115 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over54c450$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24319039.5%75 W · 115 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf639…4a74backed Over46c435.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017322.5%39 W · 134 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0e…66d6backed Under61c427.79$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-17.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d4…59dbbacked Over46c426.54$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.2118449.5%91 W · 93 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e78…e415backed Over50c400.76$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over32c390.93$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.428,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfae9…26ccbacked Under58c363.64$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.734955.1%27 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x64e9…9324backed Over46c322.9$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.819654.2%52 W · 44 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over47c322.44$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.5464443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x266a…3579backed Over46c322.24$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.233542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+52.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Over47c319.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013729.9%41 W · 96 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9cb4…2914backed Over47c319.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x59a8…eb4ebacked Over47c319.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15016946.7%79 W · 90 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1695…324cbacked Over47c317.02$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14910931.2%34 W · 75 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf9…dde4backed Over67c315.34$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.789055.6%50 W · 40 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over5c301.09$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.463,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Under54c299.98$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.9933350.5%168 W · 165 L+24.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under51c259.31$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.771,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6d6…0a88backed Over47c255.32$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1207954.4%43 W · 36 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x86fc…55ccbacked Over47c237.49$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.6210335%36 W · 67 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x28e2…d3abbacked Over43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017218.6%32 W · 140 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Under57c232.56$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10018642.5%79 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x55e3…b615backed Under53c222.74$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.7463229.3%185 W · 447 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cc0…7faabacked Over44c218.18$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961625%4 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-48%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb19…caa5backed Over46c218.04$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf1b8…437cbacked Over46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffbc…cecfbacked Over47c212.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x091e…aec7backed Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-33%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Over47c212.74$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.991,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4361…37f6backed Over46c210$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.63444.1%15 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8bd…d868backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002846.4%13 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cad…0758backed Over48c206.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015949.7%79 W · 80 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf01…859ebacked Over49c205.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007842.3%33 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7def…4ba1backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004165.9%27 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe6c…69b7backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb136…c3cabacked Over49c203.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-28%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d48…197cbacked Over60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203246.9%15 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Under54c192.84$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.7116633.7%56 W · 110 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cea…181dbacked Under54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.196468.8%44 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick67cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Under53c181.96$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.441344.1%182 W · 231 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under44c178.09$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.047122.5%16 W · 55 L-8.2wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-37.9%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over40c175$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704139%16 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Under51c173.31$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.3162452.7%329 W · 295 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over47c170.5$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.661,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under54c170.43$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7832855.8%183 W · 145 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under52c167.99$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.061,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c09…ed31backed Over48c167$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.1614440.3%58 W · 86 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3955…67f2backed Over46c152.96$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702218.2%4 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked Under53c149.99$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4923950.2%120 W · 119 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over60c137.99$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.411,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Under54c134.36$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.818433.7%62 W · 122 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x142a…31b6backed Under41c130.29$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.02475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+39.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38cc…425bbacked Under73c124.41$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.59650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x804d…078cbacked Under56c122.84$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.051656.3%9 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e90…4a0dbacked Over43c114.46$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.96018.3%11 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-31.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c08…e7b6backed Over48c110$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.88031.3%25 W · 55 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe59d…3774backed Over46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502119%4 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-59.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60b9…fa31backed Under76c107.17$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.721735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b0c…4f42backed Over47c106.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab53…f5b2backed Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.