Fifa International · resolved market
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcbf1b8ace922fd9d572b05d64f6e2c0cf0ba1ef80f749ad44827ba455e49be2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,521
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,521 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 4c | 9,410$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 54c | 7,546$4,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,094.56 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed Under | 47c | 6,453$3,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,435.05 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 16c | 4,278$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.43 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda2e…8904backed Under | 46c | 2,160$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.04 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 47c | 1,499$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.23 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 49c | 1,238$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.46 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6f…cb80backed Under | 48c | 900$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9425…0b83backed Over | 15c | 826.07$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.24 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…75d2backed Over | 14c | 818.5$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.49 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Under | 80c | 807.7$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfded…4c93backed Over | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 14c | 651.07$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.63 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Over | 15c | 640.53$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.08 | 229 | 19.2%44 W · 185 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 14c | 556.66$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.85 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Over | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Over | 14c | 450$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 198 | 38.4%76 W · 122 L | -18.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over | 14c | 450$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 190 | 39.5%75 W · 115 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over | 14c | 450$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 190 | 39.5%75 W · 115 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…edd3backed Over | 14c | 359.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed Under | 47c | 296.18$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.78 | 110 | 65.5%72 W · 38 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7940…47e7backed Under | 45c | 224.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.29 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce1…0ea7backed Over | 15c | 217.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…ab74backed Under | 44c | 204.55$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 16c | 186.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 7c | 185$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e25…172fbacked Over | 15c | 159.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Under | 47c | 138.65$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.48 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x369f…798bbacked Over | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 11c | 122.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d68…4354backed Under | 60c | 120.45$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.61 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +10.5wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Under | 77c | 118.77$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 79c | 112$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dca…64e9backed Over | 14c | 110$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1695…324cbacked Over | 15c | 106.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8af7…809dbacked Under | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +265.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb8…c74dbacked Over | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387a…8eaebacked Over | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 329 | 28%92 W · 237 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8687…1db0backed Over | 24c | 84.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -6.9wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…cf69backed Over | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 277 | 42.2%117 W · 160 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…428cbacked Over | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 373 | 20.9%78 W · 295 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec0…aeb9backed Under | 74c | 49.17$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Under | 74c | 45.3$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 359 | 54%194 W · 165 L | +20.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Under | 78c | 43.92$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 618 | 55.3%342 W · 276 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Over | 27c | 37.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x822b…61fdbacked Under | 57c | 35.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +8.5wins | +0.25per pick | 40cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Under | 67c | 28.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 209 | 68.4%143 W · 66 L | +21.5wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 2.5this page
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5Over won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5Over won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 5.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 6.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 7.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5Over won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 1.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 2.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 0.5Over won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Qatar (-1.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Qatar (-2.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Qatar (-3.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)Qatar won
- Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)Qatar won
- Spread: Switzerland (-3.5)Qatar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.