Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5238b69e57442973c13be38c5a71937cc33e1ce89a65e16e1158f233a9a767e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Qatarof Switzerland, Qatar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,619,740
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,683,392
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,619,740 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,752 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Switzerland | 59c | 1,377,203$818,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818,852.96 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Qatar | 40c | 818,997$328,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490,102.42 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Qatar | 40c | 513,481$207,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306,037.9 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb6…06dabacked Switzerland | 58c | 402,246$234,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234,061.56 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +6.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0a55…f9bebacked Switzerland | 61c | 398,676$242,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242,128.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81da…a109backed Qatar | 41c | 300,497$122,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178,297.98 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +7.9wins | +0.40per pick | 45cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Qatar | 41c | 300,000$123,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177,000 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Qatar | 39c | 262,965$103,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159,114.52 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…bab3backed Switzerland | 60c | 211,140$125,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125,901.57 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Switzerland | 60c | 208,333$125,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125,000 | 196 | 44.9%88 W · 108 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Qatar | 40c | 190,696$76,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114,417.33 | 163 | 31.9%52 W · 111 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9243…658ebacked Qatar | 42c | 151,088$63,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87,631.06 | 152 | 49.3%75 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Qatar | 40c | 117,000$46,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,220 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c7…c83bbacked Qatar | 39c | 100,000$39,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,000 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…bc89backed Switzerland | 59c | 88,571$52,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,615.47 | 109 | 59.6%65 W · 44 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Qatar | 57c | 84,259$47,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,562.57 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Qatar | 40c | 77,777$30,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,999.4 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Switzerland | 59c | 66,666$39,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,332.94 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Qatar | 41c | 55,000$22,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,699.89 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…43c2backed Switzerland | 60c | 42,333$25,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,399.64 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -7.3wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Qatar | 41c | 37,227$15,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,963.72 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Switzerland | 59c | 33,687$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Qatar | 43c | 31,338$13,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,975.96 | 228 | 46.9%107 W · 121 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…f320backed Switzerland | 59c | 30,000$17,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,699.9 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Qatar | 41c | 29,413$12,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,223.01 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Switzerland | 63c | 28,731$18,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,234.68 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0e…9884backed Qatar | 39c | 25,641$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,641.03 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Switzerland | 66c | 25,000$16,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,499.99 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…3cd4backed Switzerland | 61c | 24,590$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe6…00f8backed Switzerland | 59c | 22,971$13,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,628.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Switzerland | 55c | 22,646$12,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,490 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Qatar | 40c | 22,222$8,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,333.2 | 218 | 36.2%79 W · 139 L | -19.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Qatar | 39c | 21,050$8,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,773.78 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Qatar | 38c | 20,465$7,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,694.74 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Qatar | 41c | 20,041$8,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,773.63 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Switzerland | 58c | 20,013$11,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,704.53 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Switzerland | 59c | 20,000$11,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,800.03 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Switzerland | 60c | 18,765$11,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,210.22 | 281 | 62.6%176 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Qatar | 41c | 17,500$7,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,324.95 | 476 | 43.3%206 W · 270 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Switzerland | 60c | 17,000$10,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,195.79 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93eb…c387backed Switzerland | 59c | 15,772$9,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,305.49 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Switzerland | 58c | 14,886$8,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,634.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…e80abacked Switzerland | 62c | 14,000$8,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,680 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Switzerland | 61c | 13,864$8,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,389.37 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | +9.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x439c…8a28backed Switzerland | 61c | 13,789$8,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,361.13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Switzerland | 77c | 13,606$10,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,476.94 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Qatar | 41c | 13,554$5,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,964.68 | 484 | 41.9%203 W · 281 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Qatar | 41c | 13,500$5,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,934.98 | 471 | 44.8%211 W · 260 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Switzerland | 59c | 12,644$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Qatar | 41c | 12,285$4,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,285.62 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Switzerland | 56c | 12,000$6,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,719.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Qatar | 40c | 12,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,199.96 | 296 | 46.3%137 W · 159 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Switzerland | 59c | 11,495$6,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,836.95 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Qatar | 41c | 11,456$4,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,811.62 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…197fbacked Switzerland | 59c | 10,782$6,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,361.38 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed Switzerland | 59c | 10,536$6,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,215.96 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Qatar | 39c | 10,100$3,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,161.06 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Qatar | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Qatar | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,099.97 | 219 | 37%81 W · 138 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Switzerland | 61c | 9,730$5,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,969.86 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Qatar | 41c | 9,321$3,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,499.24 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Switzerland | 60c | 9,317$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,599.8 | 227 | 52.4%119 W · 108 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Qatar | 42c | 8,736$3,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,080.61 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8edd…74d2backed Switzerland | 59c | 8,354$4,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,945.77 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2567…fc9dbacked Switzerland | 60c | 8,333$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf285…ab24backed Qatar | 41c | 8,100$3,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,819 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Switzerland | 60c | 8,100$4,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,860 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x203d…2b2cbacked Switzerland | 60c | 8,094$4,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,856.64 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Switzerland | 62c | 8,065$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef5…fc37backed Switzerland | 59c | 8,025$4,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,752.69 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fd…c0bebacked Switzerland | 59c | 8,000$4,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,720 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Qatar | 39c | 7,981$3,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,868.58 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Qatar | 39c | 7,807$3,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,742.39 | 142 | 19.7%28 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Qatar | 40c | 7,777$3,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,666.2 | 190 | 38.9%74 W · 116 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Switzerland | 61c | 7,320$4,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,493.13 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -16.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Qatar | 41c | 7,130$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,214.85 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Qatar | 41c | 7,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,150 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…cbc9backed Switzerland | 61c | 6,533$3,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,984.86 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…32ebbacked Qatar | 77c | 6,392$4,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.42 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…eff9backed Qatar | 14c | 6,360$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,478.39 | 257 | 53.3%137 W · 120 L | +23.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Qatar | 41c | 6,000$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,540 | 224 | 51.3%115 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfb…efc0backed Switzerland | 60c | 6,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8188…b171backed Qatar | 39c | 6,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,649.95 | 188 | 39.9%75 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed Switzerland | 59c | 5,980$3,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,528.15 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Switzerland | 59c | 5,649$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333.05 | 200 | 53%106 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Qatar | 41c | 5,605$2,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,306.95 | 176 | 32.4%57 W · 119 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Qatar | 40c | 5,603$2,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,377.02 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Qatar | 39c | 5,479$2,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,342.19 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…989abacked Switzerland | 59c | 5,392$3,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,181 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a47…0c54backed Switzerland | 60c | 5,331$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4920…2ef4backed Qatar | 44c | 5,250$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Qatar | 40c | 5,070$2,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,026.21 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Switzerland | 59c | 4,977$2,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,936.43 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Switzerland | 60c | 4,974$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Qatar | 41c | 4,800$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,832 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Qatar | 40c | 4,663$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,797.65 | 226 | 43.4%98 W · 128 L | -12.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Qatar | 40c | 4,644$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,768.1 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…4ca0backed Switzerland | 61c | 4,590$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Qatar | 41c | 4,200$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,478 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Qatar | 42c | 4,122$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,387.95 | 219 | 46.1%101 W · 118 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)this page
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5Over won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5Over won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 5.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 6.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 7.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5Over won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 1.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 2.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 0.5Over won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Qatar (-1.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Qatar (-2.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Qatar (-3.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)Qatar won
- Spread: Switzerland (-3.5)Qatar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.