TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Qatar vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,234
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,664

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,234 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed Over55c2,998$1,649 inLost-$1,648.761,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x822b…61fdbacked Under45c2,158$971 inWon+$1,186.863464.7%22 W · 12 L+8.5wins+0.25per pick40cpaid+60.8%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Over52c1,397$726 inLost-$726.1814342.7%61 W · 82 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f6f…cb80backed Under48c1,200$576 inWon+$623.981844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed Under45c378.67$170 inWon+$208.276654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked Under69c343.91$236 inWon+$107.6210849.1%53 W · 55 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Under75c309$232 inWon+$77.2536539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90d4…2deebacked Over31c250.16$78 inLost-$77.557630.3%23 W · 53 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-1.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0ca…35f7backed Under45c222.22$100 inWon+$122.222470.8%17 W · 7 L+6.6wins+0.28per pick43cpaid+65.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x427a…4e18backed Under45c220$99 inWon+$1211353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7940…47e7backed Over44c181.82$80 inLost-$809947.5%47 W · 52 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under74c171.89$127 inWon+$44.693,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa5…4f56backed Under74c170.61$127 inWon+$43.617656.6%43 W · 33 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under74c168$124 inWon+$43.682,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under74c168$124 inWon+$43.682,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under75c146.47$110 inWon+$36.6285851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbd1…553dbacked Under71c140.76$100 inWon+$40.761752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x387a…8eaebacked Over27c100$27 inLost-$2732928%92 W · 237 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…2147backed Over26c79.98$21 inLost-$20.83531.4%11 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x369f…798bbacked Over26c76.92$20 inLost-$2018236.3%66 W · 116 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc8f…d0e4backed Over28c55.86$16 inLost-$15.6410137.6%38 W · 63 L+14.5wins+0.14per pick23cpaid+45.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over27c45.3$12 inLost-$12.232,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fd6…d4a0backed Under62c32.51$20 inWon+$12.514247.6%20 W · 22 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+41.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under48c28.61$14 inWon+$14.8837348.3%180 W · 193 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Under49c25.95$13 inWon+$13.3220561%125 W · 80 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x00bb…c45fbacked Under74c13.84$10 inWon+$3.62138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.