TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,166,447
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,162,089

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,166,447 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,324 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8cb4…1057backed Under33c1,355,598$447,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908,250.962147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over58c295,075$170,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170,924.344,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfb6…06dabacked Over58c263,583$152,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152,218.783759.5%22 W · 15 L+6.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+32.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4064…f741backed Over57c208,805$118,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118,422.461250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38f0…2768backed Over58c156,254$90,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90,704.512040%8 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed Over67c140,000$93,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93,80015552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed Under40c139,935$55,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84,237.124748.9%23 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over61c135,553$82,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82,131.8442345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefdd…017fbacked Over57c108,348$61,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,758.552218.2%4 W · 18 L-5.0wins-0.23per pick41cpaid-60.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under41c104,919$43,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,902.0532031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Under42c96,290$40,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,397.520844.7%93 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Over59c88,473$51,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,889.2428229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under74c74,206$55,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,164.762,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over65c63,035$41,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,171.9374752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Over67c62,400$41,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,807.9914349.7%71 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over49c58,509$28,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,953.0112146.3%56 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over67c57,500$38,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,52574447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under41c53,567$22,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,493.477152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over46c45,614$20,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,919.353,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over41c42,913$17,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,645.93,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Under43c40,000$17,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,00022846.9%107 W · 121 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over63c37,490$23,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,552.8939644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over66c37,183$24,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,636.3510836.1%39 W · 69 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+32.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9fcf…e455backed Over67c30,742$20,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,595.414544.8%65 W · 80 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+57.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4229…2e67backed Over59c27,119$16,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,0001154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf751…fec8backed Over58c25,683$14,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,801.289747.4%46 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6c3…600fbacked Under44c24,640$10,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,696.784148.8%20 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x208c…6b98backed Under43c22,657$9,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,895.299846.9%46 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa3c…3111backed Under48c21,509$10,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,275.734341.9%18 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Under51c20,111$10,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,854.257050%35 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c19,332$9,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,117.351,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa698…db5ebacked Over58c18,860$10,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,938.87962%49 W · 30 L+7.7wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd0e…9884backed Over56c17,710$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0003151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b68…1502backed Over61c16,388$9,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,996.69540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-35.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under42c15,200$6,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,843.4647144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Under42c14,995$6,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,697.119345.1%87 W · 106 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under42c14,553$6,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,499.9648441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over20c14,058$2,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,869.111,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9732…1539backed Over50c13,846$6,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,9232123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-38.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under42c13,375$5,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,737.5748152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under43c13,333$5,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,599.8119038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under42c12,858$5,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,499.747643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Under40c12,782$5,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,669.21,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Over50c12,490$6,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,244.928440.5%34 W · 50 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under42c12,344$5,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,177.650243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd1…42cebacked Under43c10,323$4,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,900.681030%3 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick59cpaid-41.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Over60c10,307$6,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,201.6820044.5%89 W · 111 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00020724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Under44c10,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,6009839.8%39 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over37c9,162$3,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,355.185550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under43c9,134$3,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,215.4971638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38d7…261bbacked Under43c9,000$3,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,120333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over24c8,942$2,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,153.994,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under43c8,884$3,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,085.6284751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over25c8,668$2,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,127.012,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under56c8,529$4,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,774.5717748%85 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under43c8,422$3,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,781.3821849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over60c8,175$4,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,930.911,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3561…d87cbacked Over53c8,113$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3002532%8 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick38cpaid+35.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51ea…150fbacked Under44c7,500$3,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,17519332.1%62 W · 131 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed Over47c7,342$3,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,450.613321.2%7 W · 26 L-7.2wins-0.22per pick43cpaid-56.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x8edd…74d2backed Over60c7,151$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3008835.2%31 W · 57 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under80c7,119$5,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,453.8932656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Under42c7,000$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0606149.2%30 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under45c6,593$2,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,626.1664446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Over56c6,229$3,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,487.38158%47 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over44c6,000$2,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,619.9945421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under43c5,691$2,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2571,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24f0…7ad4backed Under53c5,668$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,668.045442.6%23 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb10d…4ba0backed Over59c5,600$3,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3045740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over66c5,338$3,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,523.061,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under42c5,192$2,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,011.5436250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f67…a882backed Under46c5,055$2,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,724.552437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-30.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Over43c5,041$2,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,191.2823540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over22c5,026$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.262,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Under40c5,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00037754.4%205 W · 172 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba6f…fd5bbacked Over66c5,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,299.994932.7%16 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked Under43c5,000$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,849.9811657.8%67 W · 49 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under38c5,000$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,099.9377845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Under41c5,000$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,949.8718837.2%70 W · 118 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under42c4,800$2,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,78437850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Over51c4,796$2,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,446.023554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Over49c4,722$2,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,333.545429.6%16 W · 38 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-37.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4939…9adebacked Under43c4,654$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,653.682951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over54c4,653$2,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.2422643.4%98 W · 128 L-12.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over65c4,526$2,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,955.3137242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed Under39c4,483$1,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,734.387533.3%25 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over28c4,425$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230.9474034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x95d4…3c50backed Over60c4,009$2,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,390.1610942.2%46 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6285…3f5abacked Under44c3,850$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,149.66922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-50%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over19c3,809$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.0558642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over31c3,786$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.171,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked Under48c3,766$1,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,958.515364.2%34 W · 19 L+7.6wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under42c3,666$1,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,133.631,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a8…4527backed Under38c3,659$1,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,268.81757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under42c3,600$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,08835251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Under40c3,590$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,139.746942%29 W · 40 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under42c3,562$1,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,065.9429232.9%96 W · 196 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fae…0d19backed Under42c3,550$1,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,058.741662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+34.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over40c3,265$1,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,302.122,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.