TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$888,623
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$922,314

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $888,623 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 349 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under22c185,322$41,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,646.144,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over61c132,212$80,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,687.751,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed Under18c91,163$16,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,409.384748.9%23 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6cd…2f2cbacked Over80c50,000$40,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0004178%32 W · 9 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+35%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under19c32,153$6,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,174.963,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over74c29,098$21,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,513.562,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Under18c24,097$4,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,420.31,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over62c16,715$10,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,321.473,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…d4bfbacked Over80c16,300$13,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2604266.7%28 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under25c13,303$3,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,278.3817748%85 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under51c13,235$6,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,800.3464446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under35c12,357$4,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,287.6236235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under13c8,467$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06216116.1%26 W · 135 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid+52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under18c7,181$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.051,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d29…0206backed Over63c7,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6002572%18 W · 7 L+4.5wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+67.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under22c6,844$1,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,532.1536437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under18c6,752$1,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,246.0433740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Under41c6,649$2,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,713.1726647%125 W · 141 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over29c6,261$1,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,445.0874752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x897c…cb6cbacked Over52c5,960$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,859.733470.6%24 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under19c5,564$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.9484751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5e…fd91backed Under18c5,560$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.84431.8%14 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over74c5,140$3,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.528,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6510…36d1backed Under6c5,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x564f…d93bbacked Under1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507431.1%23 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Under17c5,000$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.9920724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f71…b2e4backed Under29c4,790$1,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,387.3112254.1%66 W · 56 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+33.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Under62c4,407$2,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,712.1720150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under46c3,928$1,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,817.6512146.3%56 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8239…d9a3backed Under78c3,853$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0004843.8%21 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x882f…a8c0backed Over55c3,500$1,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.665366%35 W · 18 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+31.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d4e…6478backed Over52c3,166$1,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,522.168728.7%25 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid+19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under25c3,104$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.7977152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e78…4e26backed Under34c3,100$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7ed…614cbacked Over73c3,093$2,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.51475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Over15c3,036$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,590.934964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under77c2,987$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.9919946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under28c2,923$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.7225942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24f0…7ad4backed Under20c2,884$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.35442.6%23 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac2b…f419backed Under48c2,822$1,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,340.648243.9%36 W · 46 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0bf0…72cebacked Under40c2,727$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.988643%37 W · 49 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6afc…f7ddbacked Under53c2,705$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,424.915044%22 W · 28 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-25.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked Over53c2,500$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1758052.5%42 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over33c2,424$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,624.246728.4%19 W · 48 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under74c2,368$1,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,760.761,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb262…9b98backed Over78c2,139$1,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.045056%28 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Under3c2,111$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.318642.5%79 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0487…33bdbacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under56c1,944$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.8937650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb41a…0a9bbacked Over73c1,929$1,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.487047.1%33 W · 37 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+55.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over57c1,886$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.364447.7%21 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over75c1,784$1,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.964,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bb2…95e4backed Over77c1,732$1,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.281369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over62c1,651$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.363255.7%352 W · 280 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over43c1,599$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.381,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa5…7fdbbacked Under77c1,514$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.79560%3 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick74cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Under38c1,500$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57015844.3%70 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under18c1,429$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.331,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9709…52abbacked Over56c1,419$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.2419247.9%92 W · 100 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+38%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xef87…e853backed Under50c1,408$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.997240.3%29 W · 43 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over76c1,318$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.221,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over79c1,242$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.552,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Under50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6007245.8%33 W · 39 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed Under68c1,125$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.92633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-38.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe053…fd08backed Under36c1,118$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.172138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-36.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x830b…32fdbacked Over77c1,053$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.1923747.3%112 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Under18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18019723.4%46 W · 151 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1017827.5%49 W · 129 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over65c999.99$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35040343.7%176 W · 227 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d6a…c8c1backed Over17c999.99$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.991070%7 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.34per pick36cpaid+146%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under17c999.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over43c985.87$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.122,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under14c971$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.2665737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under26c961.53$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25027931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed Under51c950.98$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4851258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+27.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x768d…d230backed Under22c902.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012433.9%42 W · 82 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a23…0f72backed Over68c899.97$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.9912241.8%51 W · 71 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Under62c893.37$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.941,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under50c857.57$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.1329740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under19c843.68$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.7639644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under18c800$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.213,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8bd…b7aabacked Over55c800$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3608057.5%46 W · 34 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Over61c800$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30911963%75 W · 44 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Under18c782.36$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.8223036.1%83 W · 147 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Under52c772.13$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.6698134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228d…a448backed Under9c769.43$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.513511.4%4 W · 31 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-71.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over76c761.42$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.621,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over32c704.62$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.234924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x920b…5d59backed Under68c661.05$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.931145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fe3…ca9dbacked Over77c652.18$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.181850%9 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Under41c613.11$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.4822932.8%75 W · 154 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under30c606.6$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.5351514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed Over79c592.75$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.1924533.9%83 W · 162 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under18c591.04$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.53,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under78c546.26$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.084967.3%33 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a2d…6db9backed Under38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008139.5%32 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2a4…fed7backed Under19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Under38c526.31$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20034533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x36f2…44aabacked Over78c509.64$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.125068%34 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Under20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004233.3%14 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.