TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$147,328
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$180,849

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,328 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2393…d54dbacked Over8c23,300$1,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,75117625%44 W · 132 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…ef38backed Over3c9,999$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.989323.7%22 W · 71 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over6c7,346$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.642,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda2b…9adcbacked Over9c5,164$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465120%0 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over17c5,029$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86710836.1%39 W · 69 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+32.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over8c4,385$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.8359230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over4c3,824$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.953,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over17c3,753$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.784425%11 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Under77c3,000$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69013059.2%77 W · 53 L+31.0wins+0.24per pick35cpaid+118.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over9c2,960$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.48,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over16c2,834$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.85731.6%18 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over4c1,543$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over8c1,503$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.241,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d17…5297backed Over8c1,500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203821.1%8 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick22cpaid+96.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over16c1,380$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.697431.1%23 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over3c1,086$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.422,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Over11c888.73$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.763823.7%9 W · 29 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over8c802.09$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.491,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over12c764.17$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3238437%142 W · 242 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe167…4067backed Over9c569.56$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.26425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick7cpaid+223.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under80c567.6$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.812,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2255…cffdbacked Over8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-81.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over8c492.06$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4045120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over9c492$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.282,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed Over7c458.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306630.3%20 W · 46 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid+37.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Over8c456.87$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.551,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Over8c427.47$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5877433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over6c399.52$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.971,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee0e…38bbbacked Over8c375$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3023529.8%70 W · 165 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over7c347.26$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.991,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over5c339.14$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5121630.1%65 W · 151 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa019…c220backed Over7c300$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over18c299.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.921,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Over5c287.95$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9987837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d91…f6dabacked Over9c277.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513633.1%45 W · 91 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x387a…8eaebacked Over8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1632928%92 W · 237 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc972…c7b8backed Over9c199$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2313138.9%51 W · 80 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over13c158.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.371,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e3…411bbacked Over8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108423.8%20 W · 64 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+16.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xddb9…901bbacked Over8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103148.4%15 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over9c120$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.446525.4%118 W · 347 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2494…9405backed Over10c110$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113016.7%5 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabe3…f648backed Over10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Under79c90$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.941444.9%186 W · 228 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over24c60$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.41,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed Under75c55.09$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5119257.8%111 W · 81 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4284…4e8cbacked Under77c38.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.963339.4%13 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under76c16.33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.9263745.4%289 W · 348 L-2.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.